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La Liga
Referee: Antonio Mateu
Betis
T T S T U
1–0
Full-time
Ath Bilbao
U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Betis Ath Bilbao
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — La Liga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 40%
29%
50%
Points per game
1,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
50%
64%
Both score Ø 61%
50%
71%
Average goals
3,2
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%
6 Shots 14
1 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 7
2 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Betis 14. · Ath Bilbao 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 15 11 4 0 +26 37
2 Barcelona 15 9 4 2 +22 31
3 Sevilla 15 9 3 3 +8 30
4 Sociedad 15 8 2 5 +5 26
5 Ath Madrid 14 7 4 3 +17 25
6 Villarreal 14 6 5 3 +9 23
7 Ath Bilbao 14 7 2 5 +3 23
8 Eibar 15 6 4 5 +2 22
9 Espanol 15 5 7 3 +1 22
10 Las Palmas 15 5 6 4 +3 21
11 Malaga 15 5 6 4 +2 21
12 Celta 15 6 3 6 -5 21
13 Alaves 15 4 6 5 -3 18
14 Betis 14 4 3 7 -11 15
15 Leganes 15 4 3 8 -14 15
16 La Coruna 15 3 4 8 -7 13
17 Valencia 15 3 3 9 -8 12
18 Sp Gijon 15 3 3 9 -14 12
19 Granada 15 1 6 8 -17 9
20 Osasuna 15 1 4 10 -19 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Betis Ath Bilbao
3′
🟨 Aymeric Laporte
Cristiano Piccini 🟨
15′
Rubén Castro 🟨
16′
1–0 Rubén Castro
A. Sanabria
18′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Mikel Vesga
↦ San José
46′
🔁 Lekue
↦ A. Laporte
47′
🟨 Raúl García
Cejudo 🔁
↦ C. Piccini
63′
Bruno González 🔁
↦ G. Pezzella
65′
70′
🔁 Asier Villalibre
↦ Aduriz
J. Martin 🔁
↦ Rubén Castro
71′
Álvaro Cejudo 🟨
74′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Betis

4-3-1-2
13 Adán G
15 R. Donk M
23 A. Mandi D
14 R. Durmisi D
12 C. Piccini D
20 G. Pezzella D
28 José Carlos D
17 Joaquín M
10 Dani Ceballos M
24 Rubén Castro F
9 A. Sanabria F
Bench (7)
16 Cejudo
4 Bruno González
8 J. Martin
19 Álex Alegría
22 D. Brašanac
1 Dani Giménez
3 Álex Martínez

Coach: Víctor Sánchez

Ath Bilbao

4-2-3-1
26 Kepa G
6 San José M
24 Balenziaga D
2 Bóveda D
4 A. Laporte D
27 Yeray Álvarez D
22 Raúl García M
7 Beñat M
20 Aduriz F
10 Muniain F
11 Iñaki Williams F
Bench (7)
12 Mikel Vesga
15 Lekue
28 Asier Villalibre
1 Iraizoz
14 Susaeta
17 Mikel Rico
25 Saborit

Coach: Ernesto Valverde

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Antonio Mateu · 160 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.