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La Liga
Referee: Javier Estrada Fernandez
Malaga
S U T T T
1–3
Full-time
Las Palmas
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Las Palmas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,5
0,3
Conceded
1,3
3,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-2,8
This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,0
3,5
Scored
0,0
0,5
Conceded
1,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-2,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%
14 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 0
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 2
3 Offside 2
22 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malaga 18. · Las Palmas 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 3 3 0 0 +9 9
2 Sociedad 3 3 0 0 +6 9
3 Sevilla 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Ath Bilbao 3 2 1 0 +3 7
5 Leganes 3 2 0 1 +1 6
6 Ath Madrid 3 1 2 0 +4 5
7 Real Madrid 3 1 2 0 +3 5
8 Levante 3 1 2 0 +1 5
9 Valencia 3 1 2 0 +1 5
10 Getafe 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Girona 3 1 1 1 -1 4
12 Celta 3 1 0 2 -1 3
13 Villarreal 3 1 0 2 -2 3
14 Betis 3 1 0 2 -3 3
15 Eibar 3 1 0 2 -3 3
16 La Coruna 3 0 1 2 -5 1
17 Espanol 3 0 1 2 -6 1
18 Malaga 2 0 0 2 -2 0
19 Alaves 3 0 0 3 -4 0
20 Las Palmas 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Malaga Las Palmas
Adrián González 🟨
23′
45′
Jonathan Viera 0–1
A. Halilović
Half-time 1–1
1–1 Diego González
Recio
48′
Javi Ontiveros 🔁
↦ Keko
60′
Recio 🟨
61′
64′
🔁 L. Rémy
↦ A. Halilović
Borja Bastón 🟨
65′
67′
🟨 Dani Castellano
69′
J. Calleri 1–2
Ximo Navarro
Cifuentes 🔁
↦ R. Rosales
73′
Y. En-Nesyri 🔁
↦ Adrián
73′
80′
🟨 Michel Macedo
81′
🔁 Momo
↦ O. Tannane
Javier Ontiveros 🟨
82′
88′
L. Rémy 1–3
Dani Castellano
90′
🔁 Vicente Gómez
↦ J. Calleri
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Malaga

4-2-3-1
1 Roberto Jiménez G
18 R. Rosales D
4 Luis Hernández D
3 Diego González D
15 F. Ricca D
6 Z. Kuzmanović M
8 Adrián M
20 Keko M
14 Recio M
9 Borja Bastón F
28 Álex Mula M
Bench (7)
17 Javi Ontiveros
12 Cifuentes
26 Y. En-Nesyri
5 E. Rolón
11 G. Castro
13 C. Gönen
22 P. Baysse

Coach: Míchel

Las Palmas

4-2-3-1
13 L. Chichizola G
16 Aythami Artiles
12 Míchel D
23 Dani Castellano D
22 Ximo Navarro D
25 A. Aquilani M
18 Javi Castellano M
21 Jonathan Viera M
8 A. Halilović M
10 O. Tannane F
9 J. Calleri F
Bench (7)
7 L. Rémy
11 Momo
4 Vicente Gómez
1 Raúl Lizoáin
5 David García
14 Hernán
17 Bigas

Coach: Manolo Márquez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Javier Estrada Fernandez · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.