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La Liga
Referee: Santiago Jaime Latre
1–0
Full-time
Malaga
S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Girona Malaga
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
4,0
1,0
Scored
2,0
0,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
15 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Girona 9. · Malaga 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sociedad 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Barcelona 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Real Madrid 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Valencia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Levante 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Eibar 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Betis 2 1 0 1 -1 3
9 Girona 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Ath Madrid 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Sevilla 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Espanol 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Ath Bilbao 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Getafe 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Las Palmas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Malaga 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Celta 2 0 0 2 -2 0
18 Alaves 2 0 0 2 -3 0
19 La Coruna 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 Villarreal 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Girona Malaga
Alex Granell 🟨
22′
1–0 Alcalá
28′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Jony
↦ J. Añor
54′
🔁 Javi Ontiveros
↦ Z. Kuzmanović
Gorka Iraizoz 🟨
55′
Marc Muniesa 🟨
56′
58′
🟨 Javier Ontiveros
63′
🟨 Recio
64′
🟨 Emanuel Cecchini
Douglas Luiz 🔁
↦ Portu
73′
O. Kayode 🔁
↦ C. Stuani
81′
82′
🔁 Y. En-Nesyri
↦ R. Rosales
Juanpe 🔁
↦ Borja García
86′
90′
🟨 Alex Mula
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Girona

3-4-2-1
1 Iraizoz G
2 B. Espinosa D
5 Alcalá D
20 Muniesa D
25 Pablo Maffeo M
24 Borja García F
11 Aday M
9 Portu F
6 Granell M
8 Pere Pons M
7 C. Stuani F
Bench (7)
12 Douglas Luiz
18 O. Kayode
15 Juanpe
3 J. Mojica
4 Ramalho
13 Y. Bounou
17 M. Moreno

Coach: Pablo Machín

Malaga

4-2-3-1
1 Roberto Jiménez G
22 P. Baysse D
18 R. Rosales D
4 Luis Hernández D
7 Juan Carlos D
6 Z. Kuzmanović M
8 Adrián M
14 Recio M
10 J. Añor M
9 Borja Bastón F
28 Álex Mula M
Bench (7)
21 Jony
17 Javi Ontiveros
26 Y. En-Nesyri
3 Diego González
12 Cifuentes
13 C. Gönen
19 E. Cecchini

Coach: Míchel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Santiago Jaime Latre · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.