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La Liga
Referee: Javier Estrada Fernandez
Levante
U T S T U
1–2
Full-time
Ath Bilbao
T T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Levante Ath Bilbao
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,8
This season — La Liga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 21%
21%
21%
Points per game
1,1
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
43%
36%
Both score Ø 43%
43%
43%
Average goals
2,4
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%
12 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Levante 14. · Ath Bilbao 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 14 11 3 0 +29 36
2 Valencia 15 10 4 1 +21 34
3 Ath Madrid 15 9 6 0 +17 33
4 Real Madrid 15 9 4 2 +19 31
5 Sevilla 15 9 1 5 +0 28
6 Villarreal 14 6 3 5 +4 21
7 Getafe 15 5 5 5 +5 20
8 Leganes 15 6 2 7 -2 20
9 Sociedad 15 5 4 6 +0 19
10 Celta 15 5 3 7 +4 18
11 Betis 15 5 3 7 -6 18
12 Eibar 15 5 3 7 -11 18
13 Girona 14 4 5 5 -4 17
14 Levante 14 3 7 4 -6 16
15 Espanol 14 4 4 6 -7 16
16 La Coruna 15 4 3 8 -9 15
17 Ath Bilbao 14 3 5 6 -4 14
18 Alaves 15 4 0 11 -12 12
19 Malaga 15 3 2 10 -15 11
20 Las Palmas 15 3 1 11 -23 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Levante Ath Bilbao
Toño 🟨
4′
5′
Aduriz 0–1
E. Boateng 🔁
↦ El Hacen
37′
40′
🟨 Raúl García
Half-time 0–1
Ivi López 🔁
↦ S. Moore
46′
69′
🟨 Mikel Rico
71′
🔁 Iñaki Williams
↦ Aduriz
0–2 A. Laporte
own goal
73′
76′
🟨 Mikel Vesga
José Campaña 🟨
79′
Chema 🟨
79′
79′
Sergio Postigo 1–2
own goal
82′
🔁 Saborit
↦ Susaeta
89′
🔁 Sabin Merino
↦ De Marcos
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Levante

4-1-4-1
13 Oier G
15 Sergio Postigo D
3 Toño M
6 Chema D
26 S. Moore D
24 Campaña M
11 José Luis Morales M
31 El Hacen M
10 E. Bardhi M
23 Jason M
12 E. Ünal F
Bench (7)
21 E. Boateng
14 Ivi López
1 Raúl Fernández
4 Rober
19 Pedro López
20 S. Lukić
22 Luna

Coach: Juan Muñiz

Ath Bilbao

4-2-3-1
1 Kepa G
24 Balenziaga D
18 De Marcos D
4 A. Laporte D
15 Lekue D
30 Unai Núñez D
22 Raúl García M
14 Susaeta M
17 Mikel Rico M
21 Mikel Vesga M
20 Aduriz F
Bench (7)
11 Iñaki Williams
3 Saborit
19 Sabin Merino
2 Bóveda
13 Iago Herrerín
23 Ager Aketxe
28 Iñigo Córdoba

Coach: José Ángel Ziganda

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Javier Estrada Fernandez · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.