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La Liga

Referee: Juan Martinez Munuera

Alaves

T S U U S

1–0

Full-time

Ath Bilbao

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Ath Bilbao

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,3

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,0

3,2

Scored

1,2

2,3

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,5

This season — La Liga · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 44%

34%

54%

Points per game

1,4

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

43%

60%

Both score Ø 53%

49%

57%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%

9 Shots 20

3 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 10

6 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alaves 10. · Ath Bilbao 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	36	26	6	4	+74	84
2	Real Madrid	35	26	6	3	+57	84
3	Ath Madrid	36	22	8	6	+41	74
4	Sevilla	36	20	9	7	+18	69
5	Villarreal	36	18	9	9	+21	63
6	Ath Bilbao	35	19	5	11	+13	62
7	Sociedad	36	19	5	12	+6	62
8	Eibar	36	15	9	12	+8	54
9	Espanol	35	13	11	11	-2	50
10	Alaves	35	12	12	11	-5	48
11	Celta	34	13	5	16	-8	44
12	Malaga	35	11	9	15	-7	42
13	Valencia	35	11	7	17	-11	40
14	Las Palmas	36	10	9	17	-15	39
15	Betis	35	10	7	18	-19	37
16	La Coruna	35	7	11	17	-20	32
17	Leganes	35	7	9	19	-23	30
18	Sp Gijon	36	6	9	21	-31	27
19	Granada	36	4	8	24	-50	20
20	Osasuna	35	3	10	22	-47	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	18	14	3	1	+45	45
2	Real Madrid	18	13	4	1	+25	43
3	Sevilla	18	13	4	1	+18	43
4	Ath Bilbao	18	13	3	2	+18	42
5	Ath Madrid	18	13	2	3	+24	41
6	Villarreal	18	11	3	4	+17	36
7	Sociedad	18	10	4	4	+6	34
8	Las Palmas	18	9	6	3	+11	33
9	Eibar	18	10	3	5	+9	33
10	Malaga	17	9	2	6	+6	29
11	Espanol	18	8	5	5	+5	29
12	Celta	17	9	1	7	+1	28
13	Valencia	17	7	4	6	-1	25
14	Betis	18	6	6	6	-2	24
15	La Coruna	17	6	5	6	+2	23
16	Alaves	17	5	8	4	-5	23
17	Sp Gijon	18	5	3	10	-12	18
18	Leganes	17	4	5	8	-5	17
19	Granada	18	4	4	10	-14	16
20	Osasuna	18	1	7	10	-17	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	17	13	2	2	+32	41
2	Barcelona	18	12	3	3	+29	39
3	Ath Madrid	18	9	6	3	+17	33
4	Sociedad	18	9	1	8	+0	28
5	Villarreal	18	7	6	5	+4	27
6	Sevilla	18	7	5	6	+0	26
7	Alaves	18	7	4	7	+0	25
8	Eibar	18	5	6	7	-1	21
9	Espanol	17	5	6	6	-7	21
10	Ath Bilbao	17	6	2	9	-5	20
11	Celta	17	4	4	9	-9	16
12	Valencia	18	4	3	11	-10	15
13	Malaga	18	2	7	9	-13	13
14	Betis	17	4	1	12	-17	13
15	Leganes	18	3	4	11	-18	13
16	Sp Gijon	18	1	6	11	-19	9
17	La Coruna	18	1	6	11	-22	9
18	Osasuna	17	2	3	12	-30	9
19	Las Palmas	18	1	3	14	-26	6
20	Granada	18	0	4	14	-36	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.