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La Liga

Referee: Antonio Mateu

Ath Bilbao

T T T U U

0–0

Full-time

Real Madrid

S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Real Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

0,8

2,0

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,2

This season — La Liga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 43%

23%

62%

Points per game

1,0

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

38%

69%

Both score Ø 50%

46%

54%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

1,1

1,9

Conceded

1,4

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

35% Possession 65%

11 Shots 19

4 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 5

1 Offside 3

20 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 16. · Real Madrid 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	14	11	3	0	+29	36
2	Valencia	13	9	4	0	+21	31
3	Ath Madrid	14	8	6	0	+16	30
4	Sevilla	14	9	1	4	+5	28
5	Real Madrid	13	8	3	2	+14	27
6	Villarreal	13	6	3	4	+6	21
7	Sociedad	14	5	4	5	+2	19
8	Celta	14	5	3	6	+5	18
9	Betis	13	5	3	5	-4	18
10	Girona	13	4	5	4	-3	17
11	Leganes	13	5	2	6	-3	17
12	Getafe	13	4	4	5	+4	16
13	Espanol	13	4	4	5	-5	16
14	Levante	14	3	7	4	-6	16
15	Eibar	13	4	2	7	-13	14
16	Ath Bilbao	13	3	4	6	-4	13
17	La Coruna	14	3	3	8	-10	12
18	Malaga	14	2	2	10	-17	8
19	Las Palmas	13	2	1	10	-22	7
20	Alaves	13	2	0	11	-15	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	7	6	1	0	+18	19
2	Sevilla	7	6	1	0	+10	19
3	Valencia	7	5	2	0	+14	17
4	Real Madrid	7	4	2	1	+8	14
5	Betis	7	4	2	1	+5	14
6	Villarreal	6	4	1	1	+10	13
7	Espanol	7	4	1	2	+3	13
8	Ath Madrid	6	3	3	0	+4	12
9	Celta	7	3	2	2	+2	11
10	Getafe	6	3	0	3	+5	9
11	Sociedad	7	2	3	2	+2	9
12	Levante	8	2	3	3	-4	9
13	Eibar	6	2	2	2	+1	8
14	Ath Bilbao	6	2	2	2	+0	8
15	Leganes	6	2	2	2	-2	8
16	Malaga	7	2	2	3	-3	8
17	Girona	7	2	2	3	-3	8
18	La Coruna	7	2	1	4	-5	7
19	Alaves	7	1	0	6	-9	3
20	Las Palmas	6	1	0	5	-12	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	8	5	3	0	+12	18
2	Barcelona	7	5	2	0	+11	17
3	Valencia	6	4	2	0	+7	14
4	Real Madrid	6	4	1	1	+6	13
5	Sociedad	7	3	1	3	+0	10
6	Girona	6	2	3	1	+0	9
7	Leganes	7	3	0	4	-1	9
8	Sevilla	7	3	0	4	-5	9
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	-4	8
10	Celta	7	2	1	4	+3	7
11	Getafe	7	1	4	2	-1	7
12	Levante	6	1	4	1	-2	7
13	Eibar	7	2	0	5	-14	6
14	Ath Bilbao	7	1	2	4	-4	5
15	La Coruna	7	1	2	4	-5	5
16	Betis	6	1	1	4	-9	4
17	Las Palmas	7	1	1	5	-10	4
18	Alaves	6	1	0	5	-6	3
19	Espanol	6	0	3	3	-8	3
20	Malaga	7	0	0	7	-14	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.