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La Liga

Referee: Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez

Sociedad

T T U S T

2–4

Full-time

Barcelona

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Barcelona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

1,0

2,5

Conceded

1,3

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+2,0

This season — La Liga · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,3

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

67%

61%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,4

3,1

Scored

1,7

2,7

Conceded

1,7

0,4

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+2,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

49% Possession 51%

15 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 3

5 Offside 5

14 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sociedad 15. · Barcelona 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	18	15	3	0	+41	48
2	Ath Madrid	19	12	6	1	+20	42
3	Valencia	19	12	4	3	+21	40
4	Real Madrid	18	9	5	4	+15	32
5	Villarreal	19	9	4	6	+5	31
6	Sevilla	19	9	2	8	-5	29
7	Eibar	19	8	3	8	-7	27
8	Getafe	19	7	5	7	+5	26
9	Girona	19	7	5	7	+0	26
10	Celta	19	7	4	8	+6	25
11	Ath Bilbao	19	6	7	6	+1	25
12	Leganes	17	7	3	7	-1	24
13	Betis	18	7	3	8	-4	24
14	Espanol	19	6	6	7	-6	24
15	Sociedad	18	6	5	7	+1	23
16	Levante	19	3	9	7	-11	18
17	Alaves	19	6	0	13	-13	18
18	La Coruna	19	4	4	11	-16	16
19	Malaga	19	3	2	14	-20	11
20	Las Palmas	19	3	2	14	-32	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	9	8	1	0	+25	25
2	Valencia	10	7	2	1	+15	23
3	Sevilla	9	6	2	1	+8	20
4	Getafe	10	6	1	3	+9	19
5	Ath Madrid	8	5	3	0	+7	18
6	Real Madrid	10	5	2	3	+9	17
7	Eibar	10	5	2	3	+6	17
8	Espanol	10	5	2	3	+3	17
9	Villarreal	8	4	2	2	+8	14
10	Girona	10	4	2	4	+3	14
11	Betis	9	4	2	3	+2	14
12	Leganes	8	4	2	2	+1	14
13	Ath Bilbao	9	3	4	2	+2	13
14	Sociedad	9	3	3	3	+2	12
15	Celta	9	3	3	3	+1	12
16	Alaves	10	4	0	6	-5	12
17	Levante	11	2	4	5	-6	10
18	La Coruna	10	3	1	6	-7	10
19	Malaga	9	2	2	5	-6	8
20	Las Palmas	9	2	1	6	-12	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	11	7	3	1	+13	24
2	Barcelona	9	7	2	0	+16	23
3	Valencia	9	5	2	2	+6	17
4	Villarreal	11	5	2	4	-3	17
5	Real Madrid	8	4	3	1	+6	15
6	Celta	10	4	1	5	+5	13
7	Ath Bilbao	10	3	3	4	-1	12
8	Girona	9	3	3	3	-3	12
9	Sociedad	9	3	2	4	-1	11
10	Leganes	9	3	1	5	-2	10
11	Betis	9	3	1	5	-6	10
12	Eibar	9	3	1	5	-13	10
13	Sevilla	10	3	0	7	-13	9
14	Levante	8	1	5	2	-5	8
15	Getafe	9	1	4	4	-4	7
16	Espanol	9	1	4	4	-9	7
17	Alaves	9	2	0	7	-8	6
18	La Coruna	9	1	3	5	-9	6
19	Las Palmas	10	1	1	8	-20	4
20	Malaga	10	1	0	9	-14	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.