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La Liga
Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano
Sociedad
T S S S S
1–1
Full-time
Barcelona
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
2,2
2,2
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,0
This season — La Liga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 63%
58%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
42%
58%
Average goals
2,8
3,8
Scored
1,8
2,7
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
18 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 6
4 Offside 6
16 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sociedad 6. · Barcelona 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 13 10 3 0 +25 33
2 Sevilla 13 8 3 2 +6 27
3 Barcelona 12 8 2 2 +19 26
4 Ath Madrid 13 7 3 3 +17 24
5 Villarreal 13 6 4 3 +9 22
6 Sociedad 12 7 1 4 +8 22
7 Eibar 13 6 3 4 +4 21
8 Ath Bilbao 12 6 2 4 +3 20
9 Celta 13 6 2 5 -2 20
10 Malaga 13 5 4 4 +2 19
11 Espanol 13 4 6 3 +0 18
12 Las Palmas 12 4 4 4 +1 16
13 Alaves 13 4 4 5 -3 16
14 Betis 13 4 2 7 -11 14
15 Leganes 13 4 1 8 -14 13
16 Valencia 13 3 2 8 -7 11
17 La Coruna 13 2 4 7 -10 10
18 Sp Gijon 13 2 3 8 -15 9
19 Osasuna 13 1 4 8 -14 7
20 Granada 13 0 5 8 -18 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad Barcelona
22′
🟨 Marc-André ter Stegen
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Denis Suárez
↦ I. Rakitić
1–0 Willian José
53′
55′
🟨 Javier Mascherano
59′
L. Messi 1–1
Neymar
Carlos Martínez 🟨
62′
Canales 🔁
↦ Xabi Prieto
72′
Juanmi 🔁
↦ Willian José
75′
84′
🟨 Denis Suárez
Granero 🔁
↦ Mikel Oyarzabal
85′
David Zurutuza 🟨
89′
90′
🟨 Jordi Alba
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-3-3
1 G. Rulli G
2 Carlos Martínez D
19 Yuri D
22 Raúl Navas D
6 Íñigo Martínez D
10 Xabi Prieto M
4 Illarramendi M
17 Zurutuza M
11 C. Vela F
12 Willian José F
18 Mikel Oyarzabal M
Bench (7)
16 Canales
7 Juanmi
8 Granero
3 Mikel González
15 Aritz Elustondo
24 David Concha
25 Toño

Coach: Eusebio Sacristán

Barcelona

4-3-3
1 M. ter Stegen G
14 J. Mascherano M
3 Piqué D
18 Jordi Alba D
4 I. Rakitić M
5 Busquets M
20 Sergi Roberto D
21 André Gomes M
10 L. Messi F
9 L. Suárez F
11 Neymar F
Bench (7)
6 Denis Suárez
12 Rafinha
13 J. Cillessen
17 Paco Alcácer
19 L. Digne
28 Carles Aleñà
33 Marlon

Coach: Luis Enrique

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jesus Gil Manzano · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.