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La Liga

Referee: Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez

Alaves

S S T S T

1–0

Full-time

Sevilla

S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Sevilla

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

4,0

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,2

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

This season — La Liga · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 39%

28%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

28%

39%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%

12 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

19 Free kicks against 12

5 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alaves 18. · Sevilla 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	18	15	3	0	+41	48
2	Ath Madrid	19	12	6	1	+20	42
3	Valencia	19	12	4	3	+21	40
4	Real Madrid	18	9	5	4	+15	32
5	Villarreal	19	9	4	6	+5	31
6	Sevilla	18	9	2	7	-4	29
7	Eibar	19	8	3	8	-7	27
8	Getafe	19	7	5	7	+5	26
9	Girona	19	7	5	7	+0	26
10	Celta	19	7	4	8	+6	25
11	Ath Bilbao	18	6	6	6	+1	24
12	Leganes	17	7	3	7	-1	24
13	Betis	18	7	3	8	-4	24
14	Sociedad	18	6	5	7	+1	23
15	Espanol	18	6	5	7	-6	23
16	Levante	19	3	9	7	-11	18
17	La Coruna	19	4	4	11	-16	16
18	Alaves	18	5	0	13	-14	15
19	Malaga	19	3	2	14	-20	11
20	Las Palmas	19	3	2	14	-32	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	9	8	1	0	+25	25
2	Valencia	10	7	2	1	+15	23
3	Sevilla	9	6	2	1	+8	20
4	Getafe	10	6	1	3	+9	19
5	Ath Madrid	8	5	3	0	+7	18
6	Real Madrid	10	5	2	3	+9	17
7	Eibar	10	5	2	3	+6	17
8	Espanol	9	5	1	3	+3	16
9	Villarreal	8	4	2	2	+8	14
10	Girona	10	4	2	4	+3	14
11	Betis	9	4	2	3	+2	14
12	Leganes	8	4	2	2	+1	14
13	Ath Bilbao	9	3	4	2	+2	13
14	Sociedad	9	3	3	3	+2	12
15	Celta	9	3	3	3	+1	12
16	Levante	11	2	4	5	-6	10
17	La Coruna	10	3	1	6	-7	10
18	Alaves	9	3	0	6	-6	9
19	Malaga	9	2	2	5	-6	8
20	Las Palmas	9	2	1	6	-12	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	11	7	3	1	+13	24
2	Barcelona	9	7	2	0	+16	23
3	Valencia	9	5	2	2	+6	17
4	Villarreal	11	5	2	4	-3	17
5	Real Madrid	8	4	3	1	+6	15
6	Celta	10	4	1	5	+5	13
7	Girona	9	3	3	3	-3	12
8	Ath Bilbao	9	3	2	4	-1	11
9	Sociedad	9	3	2	4	-1	11
10	Leganes	9	3	1	5	-2	10
11	Betis	9	3	1	5	-6	10
12	Eibar	9	3	1	5	-13	10
13	Sevilla	9	3	0	6	-12	9
14	Levante	8	1	5	2	-5	8
15	Getafe	9	1	4	4	-4	7
16	Espanol	9	1	4	4	-9	7
17	Alaves	9	2	0	7	-8	6
18	La Coruna	9	1	3	5	-9	6
19	Las Palmas	10	1	1	8	-20	4
20	Malaga	10	1	0	9	-14	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.