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La Liga

Referee: Alberto Undiano

Sevilla

T S S T S

2–0

Full-time

Ath Bilbao

T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Ath Bilbao

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,3

1,8

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,5

This season — La Liga · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 39%

50%

27%

Points per game

1,6

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

50%

31%

Both score Ø 44%

42%

46%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

49% Possession 51%

18 Shots 10

8 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

8 Corners 4

4 Offside 6

14 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sevilla 5. · Ath Bilbao 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	26	20	6	0	+56	66
2	Ath Madrid	26	18	7	1	+34	61
3	Real Madrid	26	15	6	5	+34	51
4	Valencia	26	15	5	6	+20	50
5	Sevilla	26	13	3	10	-6	42
6	Villarreal	27	12	5	10	+4	41
7	Girona	27	11	7	9	+2	40
8	Eibar	26	11	5	10	-5	38
9	Betis	26	11	4	11	-7	37
10	Getafe	26	9	9	8	+10	36
11	Celta	26	10	5	11	+5	35
12	Ath Bilbao	26	7	11	8	-2	32
13	Espanol	26	7	10	9	-9	31
14	Alaves	26	10	1	15	-14	31
15	Sociedad	26	8	6	12	+0	30
16	Leganes	26	8	6	12	-11	30
17	Levante	26	3	11	12	-20	20
18	Las Palmas	26	5	5	16	-34	20
19	La Coruna	26	4	6	16	-32	18
20	Malaga	26	3	4	19	-25	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	12	10	2	0	+31	32
2	Ath Madrid	13	9	4	0	+17	31
3	Valencia	13	9	2	2	+15	29
4	Getafe	14	8	3	3	+15	27
5	Real Madrid	13	8	2	3	+22	26
6	Eibar	14	7	3	4	+9	24
7	Sevilla	12	7	3	2	+6	24
8	Villarreal	13	7	2	4	+9	23
9	Girona	13	7	2	4	+9	23
10	Espanol	14	6	4	4	+1	22
11	Alaves	14	7	1	6	-2	22
12	Betis	14	6	3	5	-3	21
13	Celta	12	5	4	3	+4	19
14	Ath Bilbao	13	4	7	2	+3	19
15	Sociedad	13	5	3	5	+7	18
16	Leganes	12	5	3	4	-1	18
17	Las Palmas	13	4	2	7	-11	14
18	La Coruna	13	3	3	7	-8	12
19	Levante	13	2	5	6	-8	11
20	Malaga	13	2	3	8	-9	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	14	10	4	0	+25	34
2	Ath Madrid	13	9	3	1	+17	30
3	Real Madrid	13	7	4	2	+12	25
4	Valencia	13	6	3	4	+5	21
5	Villarreal	14	5	3	6	-5	18
6	Sevilla	14	6	0	8	-12	18
7	Girona	14	4	5	5	-7	17
8	Celta	14	5	1	8	+1	16
9	Betis	12	5	1	6	-4	16
10	Eibar	12	4	2	6	-14	14
11	Ath Bilbao	13	3	4	6	-5	13
12	Sociedad	13	3	3	7	-7	12
13	Leganes	14	3	3	8	-10	12
14	Getafe	12	1	6	5	-5	9
15	Espanol	12	1	6	5	-10	9
16	Alaves	12	3	0	9	-12	9
17	Levante	13	1	6	6	-12	9
18	Las Palmas	13	1	3	9	-23	6
19	La Coruna	13	1	3	9	-24	6
20	Malaga	13	1	1	11	-16	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.