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Eliteserien

Referee: Svein Oddvar Moen

Molde

U S S S T

2–1

Full-time

Lillestrom

S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,2

This season — Eliteserien · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 50%

75%

25%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

75%

Both score Ø 50%

25%

75%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

65% Possession 35%

20 Shots 19

4 Shots on target 8

7 Blocked shots 3

7 Goalkeeper saves 2

9 Corners 4

1 Offside 4

10 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Molde 1. · Lillestrom 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	4	3	0	1	+3	9
2	Valerenga	5	3	0	2	+1	9
3	Sarpsborg 08	4	2	2	0	+4	8
4	Haugesund	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	Brann	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Tromso	4	2	0	2	+2	6
7	Ranheim	3	2	0	1	+0	6
8	Rosenborg	4	1	2	1	+3	5
9	Stromsgodset	4	1	2	1	+1	5
10	Kristiansund	4	1	1	2	-1	4
11	Odd	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Lillestrom	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Sandefjord	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Bodo/Glimt	4	1	0	3	-4	3
15	Start	4	1	0	3	-6	3
16	Stabaek	3	0	2	1	-3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tromso	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Molde	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Sarpsborg 08	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Brann	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Rosenborg	2	1	1	0	+4	4
6	Lillestrom	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Odd	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Ranheim	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Kristiansund	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Bodo/Glimt	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Valerenga	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Start	3	1	0	2	-5	3
13	Stromsgodset	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Sandefjord	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Haugesund	2	0	1	1	-1	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Haugesund	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Valerenga	3	2	0	1	+3	6
3	Stromsgodset	2	1	0	1	+1	3
4	Sandefjord	2	1	0	1	-2	3
5	Ranheim	2	1	0	1	-3	3
6	Molde	2	1	0	1	-3	3
7	Sarpsborg 08	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Stabaek	3	0	2	1	-3	2
9	Brann	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Kristiansund	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Rosenborg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Odd	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Start	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Lillestrom	2	0	0	2	-3	0
15	Bodo/Glimt	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Tromso	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.