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La Liga

Referee: Carlos Del Cerro Grande

Betis

S S S S U

2–1

Full-time

Malaga

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Betis Malaga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

1,3

2,0

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,0

This season — La Liga · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 33%

50%

15%

Points per game

1,6

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

50%

29%

Both score Ø 34%

38%

29%

Average goals

3,1

2,1

Scored

1,6

0,6

Conceded

1,6

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

63% Possession 37%

12 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 4

0 Offside 3

9 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Betis 5. · Malaga 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	34	26	8	0	+66	86
2	Ath Madrid	35	22	9	4	+37	75
3	Real Madrid	34	21	8	5	+45	71
4	Valencia	35	20	7	8	+26	67
5	Betis	34	17	5	12	+1	56
6	Villarreal	34	16	6	12	+8	54
7	Getafe	35	13	10	12	+8	49
8	Girona	35	13	9	13	-6	48
9	Sevilla	34	14	6	14	-12	48
10	Sociedad	35	13	7	15	+8	46
11	Celta	35	12	9	14	+3	45
12	Eibar	35	12	8	15	-10	44
13	Alaves	35	13	2	20	-14	41
14	Ath Bilbao	35	9	13	13	-7	40
15	Espanol	35	9	13	13	-12	40
16	Leganes	35	11	7	17	-14	40
17	Levante	35	9	13	13	-16	40
18	La Coruna	35	6	10	19	-35	28
19	Las Palmas	35	5	7	23	-47	22
20	Malaga	34	5	5	24	-29	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	16	14	2	0	+37	44
2	Ath Madrid	17	12	5	0	+24	41
3	Valencia	18	12	3	3	+19	39
4	Real Madrid	18	11	4	3	+28	37
5	Villarreal	17	10	2	5	+12	32
6	Getafe	18	9	4	5	+14	31
7	Sociedad	18	9	3	6	+17	30
8	Betis	17	9	3	5	+3	30
9	Sevilla	16	8	5	3	+6	29
10	Celta	17	7	7	3	+9	28
11	Leganes	17	8	4	5	+2	28
12	Girona	17	8	3	6	+8	27
13	Espanol	18	7	6	5	+1	27
14	Eibar	18	7	4	7	+6	25
15	Alaves	18	8	1	9	-4	25
16	Levante	18	6	6	6	-4	24
17	Ath Bilbao	17	5	8	4	+2	23
18	La Coruna	18	4	6	8	-9	18
19	Malaga	17	4	3	10	-9	15
20	Las Palmas	17	4	2	11	-21	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	18	12	6	0	+29	42
2	Real Madrid	16	10	4	2	+17	34
3	Ath Madrid	18	10	4	4	+13	34
4	Valencia	17	8	4	5	+7	28
5	Betis	17	8	2	7	-2	26
6	Villarreal	17	6	4	7	-4	22
7	Girona	18	5	6	7	-14	21
8	Eibar	17	5	4	8	-16	19
9	Sevilla	18	6	1	11	-18	19
10	Getafe	17	4	6	7	-6	18
11	Celta	18	5	2	11	-6	17
12	Ath Bilbao	18	4	5	9	-9	17
13	Sociedad	17	4	4	9	-9	16
14	Alaves	17	5	1	11	-10	16
15	Levante	17	3	7	7	-12	16
16	Espanol	17	2	7	8	-13	13
17	Leganes	18	3	3	12	-16	12
18	La Coruna	17	2	4	11	-26	10
19	Las Palmas	18	1	5	12	-26	8
20	Malaga	17	1	2	14	-20	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.