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La Liga
Referee: David Medie Jimenez
Sociedad
S S T S T
3–2
Full-time
Leganes
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Leganes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
2,0
0,7
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-1,0
This season — La Liga · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 34%
36%
31%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
69%
44%
Both score Ø 45%
58%
31%
Average goals
3,3
2,1
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

60% Possession 40%
11 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 1
3 Offside 4
8 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sociedad 11. · Leganes 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 36 27 9 0 +70 90
2 Ath Madrid 36 22 9 5 +35 75
3 Real Madrid 36 21 9 6 +44 72
4 Valencia 36 20 7 9 +25 67
5 Betis 36 18 5 13 +0 59
6 Villarreal 36 17 6 13 +5 57
7 Sevilla 36 16 6 14 -10 54
8 Getafe 36 14 10 12 +9 52
9 Girona 36 13 9 14 -9 48
10 Eibar 36 13 8 15 -7 47
11 Sociedad 36 13 7 16 +7 46
12 Celta 36 12 10 14 +3 46
13 Alaves 36 14 2 20 -11 44
14 Ath Bilbao 36 10 13 13 -5 43
15 Espanol 36 10 13 13 -10 43
16 Levante 36 10 13 13 -13 43
17 Leganes 36 11 7 18 -17 40
18 La Coruna 36 6 11 19 -35 29
19 Las Palmas 36 5 7 24 -48 22
20 Malaga 36 5 5 26 -33 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad Leganes
1–0 Mikel Oyarzabal
18′
2–0 Canales
Willian José
25′
26′
Diego Rico 2–1
Guerrero
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 D. Brašanac
↦ N. El Zhar
53′
Guerrero 2–2
Zurutuza 🔁
↦ Rubén Pardo
66′
Asier Illarramendi 🟨
67′
72′
🔁 Raúl García
↦ Gerard Gumbau
77′
🟨 Unai Bustinza
3–2 Willian José
78′
82′
🔁 C. Beauvue
↦ Omar Ramos
Xabi Prieto 🔁
↦ Juanmi
83′
85′
🟨 Diego Rico
Carlos Martínez 🔁
↦ Álvaro Odriozola
88′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-4-2
1 G. Rulli G
6 H. Moreno D
22 Raúl Navas D
20 Kévin Rodrigues D
19 Álvaro Odriozola D
16 Canales M
4 Illarramendi M
14 Rubén Pardo M
12 Willian José F
7 Juanmi F
18 Mikel Oyarzabal M
Bench (7)
17 Zurutuza
10 Xabi Prieto
2 Carlos Martínez
3 Diego Llorente
21 Jon Bautista
24 De La Bella
25 Moyà

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Leganes

4-2-3-1
13 N. Champagne G
19 E. Muñoz D
16 M. Dos Santos D
3 Bustinza D
15 Diego Rico D
10 N. El Zhar M
23 Omar Ramos M
21 Rubén Pérez M
17 Eraso M
6 Gerard Gumbau M
9 Guerrero F
Bench (7)
24 D. Brašanac
14 Raúl García
12 C. Beauvue
5 M. Mantovani
2 Tito
25 Serantes
36 William De Camargo

Coach: Asier Garitano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

David Medie Jimenez · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.