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La Liga

Referee: Daniel Jesus Trujillo Suarez

Villarreal

S S T T U

2–1

Full-time

Leganes

T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Leganes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

This season — La Liga · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 39%

44%

34%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

50%

41%

Both score Ø 38%

47%

28%

Average goals

2,6

2,1

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%

17 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

10 Corners 4

5 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Villarreal 6. · Leganes 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	33	25	8	0	+64	83
2	Ath Madrid	32	21	8	3	+39	71
3	Real Madrid	32	20	7	5	+44	67
4	Valencia	32	20	5	7	+27	65
5	Betis	32	16	4	12	+0	52
6	Villarreal	32	14	6	12	+4	48
7	Sevilla	33	14	6	13	-11	48
8	Celta	33	12	8	13	+6	44
9	Girona	32	12	8	12	-5	44
10	Getafe	32	11	9	12	+6	42
11	Sociedad	32	11	7	14	+5	40
12	Eibar	32	11	7	14	-10	40
13	Ath Bilbao	32	9	12	11	-3	39
14	Leganes	32	11	6	15	-12	39
15	Alaves	32	12	2	18	-16	38
16	Espanol	32	8	12	12	-13	36
17	Levante	32	6	13	13	-20	31
18	La Coruna	33	6	9	18	-33	27
19	Las Palmas	32	5	6	21	-42	21
20	Malaga	32	4	5	23	-30	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	16	14	2	0	+37	44
2	Ath Madrid	16	12	4	0	+24	40
3	Valencia	16	12	2	2	+20	38
4	Real Madrid	16	10	3	3	+27	33
5	Getafe	17	9	3	5	+14	30
6	Sevilla	16	8	5	3	+6	29
7	Girona	16	8	3	5	+10	27
8	Celta	16	7	6	3	+9	27
9	Betis	16	8	3	5	+2	27
10	Leganes	16	8	3	5	+2	27
11	Villarreal	15	8	2	5	+8	26
12	Espanol	16	7	5	4	+2	26
13	Eibar	17	7	4	6	+7	25
14	Alaves	16	8	1	7	-2	25
15	Sociedad	16	7	3	6	+12	24
16	Ath Bilbao	16	5	8	3	+4	23
17	Levante	16	4	6	6	-6	18
18	La Coruna	17	4	6	7	-7	18
19	Las Palmas	16	4	2	10	-17	14
20	Malaga	16	3	3	10	-11	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	17	11	6	0	+27	39
2	Real Madrid	16	10	4	2	+17	34
3	Ath Madrid	16	9	4	3	+15	31
4	Valencia	16	8	3	5	+7	27
5	Betis	16	8	1	7	-2	25
6	Villarreal	17	6	4	7	-4	22
7	Sevilla	17	6	1	10	-17	19
8	Celta	17	5	2	10	-3	17
9	Girona	16	4	5	7	-15	17
10	Sociedad	16	4	4	8	-7	16
11	Ath Bilbao	16	4	4	8	-7	16
12	Eibar	15	4	3	8	-17	15
13	Alaves	16	4	1	11	-14	13
14	Levante	16	2	7	7	-14	13
15	Getafe	15	2	6	7	-8	12
16	Leganes	16	3	3	10	-14	12
17	Espanol	16	1	7	8	-15	10
18	La Coruna	16	2	3	11	-26	9
19	Las Palmas	16	1	4	11	-25	7
20	Malaga	16	1	2	13	-19	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.