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Eredivisie

Referee: Jeroen Manschot

VVV Venlo

T T S U S

2–2

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

VVV Venlo AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,8

This season — Eredivisie · 11/12 matches

Win Ø 44%

45%

42%

Points per game

1,6

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

36%

67%

Both score Ø 52%

45%

58%

Average goals

2,4

3,3

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

1,1

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

45% Possession 55%

9 Shots 17

3 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

8 Corners 9

2 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 13

4 Yellow cards 0

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match VVV Venlo 7. · AZ Alkmaar 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	13	13	0	0	+41	39
2	Ajax	13	11	1	1	+35	34
3	Feyenoord	12	8	2	2	+10	26
4	Utrecht	12	6	3	3	+7	21
5	Heracles	13	6	2	5	-2	20
6	AZ Alkmaar	12	5	3	4	+4	18
7	VVV Venlo	11	5	3	3	+2	18
8	For Sittard	13	4	4	5	+2	16
9	Vitesse	11	4	3	4	+1	15
10	Den Haag	13	4	3	6	-10	15
11	Excelsior	13	4	3	6	-12	15
12	Heerenveen	13	3	5	5	-6	14
13	Willem II	13	3	4	6	-5	13
14	FC Emmen	13	3	4	6	-13	13
15	Zwolle	13	3	2	8	-10	11
16	Groningen	12	3	1	8	-8	10
17	De Graafschap	13	3	1	9	-19	10
18	NAC Breda	13	2	2	9	-17	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	7	7	0	0	+26	21
2	Feyenoord	6	6	0	0	+11	18
3	Ajax	6	5	1	0	+18	16
4	Utrecht	7	5	1	1	+11	16
5	Heracles	6	5	0	1	+9	15
6	For Sittard	7	3	2	2	+5	11
7	VVV Venlo	5	3	1	1	+5	10
8	AZ Alkmaar	6	2	3	1	+5	9
9	De Graafschap	7	3	0	4	-4	9
10	Excelsior	7	2	2	3	-7	8
11	Vitesse	4	2	1	1	+1	7
12	NAC Breda	7	2	1	4	-4	7
13	Den Haag	6	2	1	3	-6	7
14	FC Emmen	7	1	3	3	-3	6
15	Willem II	6	1	2	3	+1	5
16	Groningen	6	1	1	4	-3	4
17	Zwolle	7	1	1	5	-4	4
18	Heerenveen	6	0	3	3	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	7	6	0	1	+17	18
2	PSV Eindhoven	6	6	0	0	+15	18
3	Heerenveen	7	3	2	2	+2	11
4	AZ Alkmaar	6	3	0	3	-1	9
5	Vitesse	7	2	2	3	+0	8
6	Feyenoord	6	2	2	2	-1	8
7	VVV Venlo	6	2	2	2	-3	8
8	Den Haag	7	2	2	3	-4	8
9	Willem II	7	2	2	3	-6	8
10	Excelsior	6	2	1	3	-5	7
11	Zwolle	6	2	1	3	-6	7
12	FC Emmen	6	2	1	3	-10	7
13	Groningen	6	2	0	4	-5	6
14	For Sittard	6	1	2	3	-3	5
15	Utrecht	5	1	2	2	-4	5
16	Heracles	7	1	2	4	-11	5
17	NAC Breda	6	0	1	5	-13	1
18	De Graafschap	6	0	1	5	-15	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.