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La Liga
Referee: David Medie Jimenez
Sevilla
S S S S T
2–1
Full-time
Huesca
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Huesca
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
4,3
1,7
Scored
2,7
0,2
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,3
This season — La Liga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 34%
56%
11%
Points per game
1,8
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
67%
44%
Both score Ø 50%
56%
44%
Average goals
3,6
3,0
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%
14 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 2
2 Offside 5
9 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sevilla 5. · Huesca 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 10 6 3 1 +16 21
2 Alaves 10 6 2 2 +5 20
3 Ath Madrid 10 5 4 1 +7 19
4 Espanol 10 5 3 2 +6 18
5 Sevilla 9 5 1 3 +8 16
6 Valladolid 10 4 4 2 +2 16
7 Levante 10 5 1 4 +1 16
8 Getafe 10 4 3 3 +2 15
9 Real Madrid 10 4 2 4 +0 14
10 Celta 10 3 4 3 +4 13
11 Girona 10 3 4 3 -2 13
12 Sociedad 10 3 3 4 -1 12
13 Betis 10 3 3 4 -4 12
14 Valencia 10 1 8 1 -1 11
15 Eibar 10 3 2 5 -7 11
16 Ath Bilbao 10 1 7 2 -4 10
17 Villarreal 10 2 3 5 -2 9
18 Leganes 10 2 2 6 -7 8
19 Vallecano 10 1 3 6 -10 6
20 Huesca 9 1 2 6 -13 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sevilla Huesca
G. Mercado 🔁
↦ S. Kjær
24′
Daniel Carriço 🟨
45′
45′
🟨 Serdar Gürler
Half-time 0–0
Q. Promes 🔁
↦ André Silva
53′
60′
🟨 Jorge Miramon
Guilherme Arana 🟨
61′
64′
🔁 E. Ávila
↦ S. Gürler
1–0 Pablo Sarabia
W. Ben Yedder
65′
77′
🔁 S. Longo
↦ Aguilera
2–0 Pablo Sarabia
F. Vázquez
78′
83′
🔁 Álex Gallar
↦ J. Hernández
90′
🟨 Ezequiel Ávila
Roque Mesa 🔁
↦ É. Banega
90′
93′
Jorge Pulido 2–1
Moi Gómez
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sevilla

3-4-1-2
1 T. Vaclík G
4 S. Kjær D
6 Daniel Carriço D
3 Sergi Gómez D
23 Guilherme Arana M
16 Jesús Navas M
10 É. Banega M
22 F. Vázquez M
17 Pablo Sarabia M
9 W. Ben Yedder F
12 André Silva F
Bench (7)
25 G. Mercado
21 Q. Promes
7 Roque Mesa
11 Aleix Vidal
13 Juan Soriano
14 L. Muriel
18 Sergio Escudero

Coach: Pablo Machín

Huesca

3-4-2-1
25 A. Jovanović G
3 Etxeita D
14 Jorge Pulido D
24 Jorge Miramón D
4 Rúben Semedo D
15 Carlos Akapo D
7 David Ferreiro M
5 Aguilera M
21 S. Gürler M
6 Moi Gómez M
9 J. Hernández F
Bench (7)
19 E. Ávila
12 S. Longo
11 Álex Gallar
1 A. Werner
17 Christian Rivera
18 Pablo Ínsua
22 Lluis Sastre

Coach: Francisco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

David Medie Jimenez · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.