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Eredivisie

Referee: Erwin Blank

FC Emmen

U T U U S

1–2

Full-time

Excelsior

T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Emmen Excelsior

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

4,0

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

2,2

2,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,7

This season — Eredivisie · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 25%

25%

Points per game

1,1

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

58%

Both score Ø 63%

67%

58%

Average goals

3,3

3,9

Scored

1,2

1,4

Conceded

2,2

2,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%

17 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

10 Corners 6

2 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match FC Emmen 12. · Excelsior 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	13	13	0	0	+41	39
2	Ajax	13	11	1	1	+35	34
3	Feyenoord	11	7	2	2	+9	23
4	Heracles	13	6	2	5	-2	20
5	AZ Alkmaar	12	5	3	4	+4	18
6	VVV Venlo	11	5	3	3	+2	18
7	Utrecht	11	5	3	3	+2	18
8	For Sittard	13	4	4	5	+2	16
9	Den Haag	13	4	3	6	-10	15
10	Heerenveen	13	3	5	5	-6	14
11	Willem II	12	3	4	5	-3	13
12	FC Emmen	12	3	4	5	-12	13
13	Vitesse	10	3	3	4	-1	12
14	Excelsior	12	3	3	6	-13	12
15	Zwolle	13	3	2	8	-10	11
16	Groningen	11	3	1	7	-7	10
17	De Graafschap	12	3	1	8	-14	10
18	NAC Breda	13	2	2	9	-17	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	7	7	0	0	+26	21
2	Ajax	6	5	1	0	+18	16
3	Feyenoord	5	5	0	0	+10	15
4	Heracles	6	5	0	1	+9	15
5	Utrecht	6	4	1	1	+6	13
6	For Sittard	7	3	2	2	+5	11
7	VVV Venlo	5	3	1	1	+5	10
8	AZ Alkmaar	6	2	3	1	+5	9
9	De Graafschap	7	3	0	4	-4	9
10	Excelsior	7	2	2	3	-7	8
11	Vitesse	4	2	1	1	+1	7
12	NAC Breda	7	2	1	4	-4	7
13	Den Haag	6	2	1	3	-6	7
14	FC Emmen	6	1	3	2	-2	6
15	Willem II	5	1	2	2	+3	5
16	Groningen	6	1	1	4	-3	4
17	Zwolle	7	1	1	5	-4	4
18	Heerenveen	6	0	3	3	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	7	6	0	1	+17	18
2	PSV Eindhoven	6	6	0	0	+15	18
3	Heerenveen	7	3	2	2	+2	11
4	AZ Alkmaar	6	3	0	3	-1	9
5	Feyenoord	6	2	2	2	-1	8
6	VVV Venlo	6	2	2	2	-3	8
7	Den Haag	7	2	2	3	-4	8
8	Willem II	7	2	2	3	-6	8
9	Zwolle	6	2	1	3	-6	7
10	FC Emmen	6	2	1	3	-10	7
11	Groningen	5	2	0	3	-4	6
12	Vitesse	6	1	2	3	-2	5
13	For Sittard	6	1	2	3	-3	5
14	Utrecht	5	1	2	2	-4	5
15	Heracles	7	1	2	4	-11	5
16	Excelsior	5	1	1	3	-6	4
17	De Graafschap	5	0	1	4	-10	1
18	NAC Breda	6	0	1	5	-13	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.