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La Liga
Referee: Javier Alberola Rojas
Eibar
T S U S T
4–4
Full-time
Levante
S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Levante
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,7
This season — La Liga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 40%
36%
43%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
50%
71%
Both score Ø 57%
50%
64%
Average goals
2,4
3,1
Scored
1,1
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

59% Possession 41%
32 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 4
8 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
12 Corners 3
0 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eibar 14. · Levante 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 15 9 4 2 +22 31
2 Sevilla 15 8 4 3 +11 28
3 Ath Madrid 15 7 7 1 +11 28
4 Alaves 15 7 3 5 +1 24
5 Real Madrid 14 7 2 5 +3 23
6 Getafe 15 5 6 4 +4 21
7 Levante 14 6 3 5 +2 21
8 Girona 14 5 6 3 +1 21
9 Espanol 15 6 3 6 -3 21
10 Celta 15 5 5 5 +4 20
11 Sociedad 14 5 4 5 +1 19
12 Betis 14 5 4 5 -3 19
13 Valencia 15 3 9 3 +0 18
14 Eibar 14 5 3 6 -4 18
15 Valladolid 14 4 5 5 -3 17
16 Leganes 15 4 5 6 -4 17
17 Villarreal 15 3 5 7 -4 14
18 Ath Bilbao 14 1 8 5 -9 11
19 Vallecano 14 2 4 8 -13 10
20 Huesca 14 1 4 9 -17 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Levante
1′
🟨 Toño
1–0 Sergi Enrich
Charles
8′
9′
José Luis Morales 1–1
E. Bardhi
25′
Rober 1–2
Jason
Half-time 2–2
2–2 G. Escalante
Rubén Peña
57′
3–2 Charles
61′
4–2 Charles
65′
70′
🔁 Borja Mayoral
↦ Roger Martí
70′
🔁 Coke
↦ E. Cabaco
P. De Blasis 🔁
↦ F. Orellana
72′
75′
Paulo Oliveira 5–2
own goal
Kike 🔁
↦ Sergi Enrich
76′
Gonzalo Escalante 🟨
77′
82′
🟨 José Campaña
Arbilla 🔁
↦ Ramis
83′
87′
🔁 E. Boateng
↦ Toño
José Ángel 🟨
90′
91′
Borja Mayoral 5–3
Rubén Rochina
Full-time 5–3

Line-ups

Eibar

4-4-2
13 Asier Riesgo G
4 Ramis D
15 Cote D
12 Paulo Oliveira D
20 Marc Cucurella D
8 P. Diop M
14 F. Orellana M
5 G. Escalante M
11 Rubén Peña D
19 Charles F
9 Sergi Enrich F
Bench (7)
16 P. De Blasis
17 Kike
23 Arbilla
3 Bigas
6 Sergio Álvarez
7 Marc Cardona
35 Markel Areitio

Coach: Mendilibar

Levante

3-5-2
13 Oier G
3 Toño M
6 Chema D
18 E. Cabaco D
4 Rober D
16 Rubén Rochina M
24 Campaña M
11 José Luis Morales M
10 E. Bardhi M
9 Roger Martí F
23 Jason M
Bench (7)
2 Borja Mayoral
12 Coke
21 E. Boateng
7 M. Simon
8 S. Prcić
22 Luna
25 Aitor Fernández

Coach: Paco López

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Javier Alberola Rojas · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.