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Pro League
Referee: Christof Dierick
Eupen
T T S T S
0–2
Full-time
Genk
S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eupen Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
0,5
1,7
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,0
This season — Pro League · 19/13 matches
Win Ø 50%
37%
62%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
63%
62%
Both score Ø 58%
53%
62%
Average goals
3,0
3,4
Scored
1,1
2,4
Conceded
1,9
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

7 Corners 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eupen 11. · Genk 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Truiden 20 8 8 4 +8 32
2 Charleroi 19 9 3 7 +6 30
3 Gent 14 9 2 3 +15 29
4 Genk 13 8 4 1 +18 28
5 Antwerp 13 9 1 3 +9 28
6 Standard 14 7 5 2 +13 26
7 Kortrijk 20 6 7 7 -4 25
8 Cercle Brugge 20 7 4 9 -14 25
9 Club Brugge 13 7 3 3 +15 24
10 Anderlecht 14 7 3 4 +7 24
11 Eupen 19 7 1 11 -15 22
12 Oostende 20 6 4 10 -16 22
13 Beveren 20 4 8 8 -4 20
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 20 4 5 11 -10 17
15 Waregem 19 4 5 10 -13 17
16 Lokeren 20 3 5 12 -15 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eupen Genk
13′
Mbwana Samatta 0–1
20′
Mbwana Samatta 0–2
Silas Gnaka 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–2
Samuel Essende 🔁
↦ Yuta Toyokawa
64′
66′
🔁 Sander Berge
↦ Alejandro Pozuelo
Danijel Miličević 🔁
↦ Cheick Keita
74′
78′
🔁 Zinho Gano
↦ Joseph Paintsil
79′
🟨 Ruslan Malinovskyi
Nils Schouterden 🔁
↦ Silas Gnaka
82′
90′
🔁 Rubin Seigers
↦ Dieumerci Ndongala
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Eupen

3-4-2-1
1 Hendrik Van Crombrugge G
26 Morteza Pouraliganji D
22 Siebe Blondelle D
24 Silas Gnaka D
14 Alessio Castro-Montes M
10 Luis Garcia F
15 Sulayman Marreh M
3 Cheick Keita D
70 Mamadou Fall F
28 Eric Ocansey F
20 Yuta Toyokawa F
Bench (7)
30 Babacar Niasse Mbaye
25 Rocky Bushiri Kiranga
44 Xavier Molina
18 Nils Schouterden
6 Remi Mulumba
77 Danijel Miličević
23 Samuel Essende

Coach: C. Makélélé

Genk

4-3-3
1 Danny Vukovic G
31 Joakim Maehle M
45 Joseph Aidoo D
6 Sébastien Dewaest D
21 Jere Uronen D
28 Bryan Heynen M
24 Alejandro Pozuelo M
18 Ruslan Malinovskyi M
77 Dieumerci Ndongala F
10 Mbwana Samatta F
11 Joseph Paintsil M
Bench (9)
30 Nordin Jackers
4 Dries Wouters
3 Bojan Nastić
33 Jhon Lucumi
15 Ibrahima Seck
19 Jakub Piotrowski
20 Ivan Fiolić
25 Sander Berge
93 Zinho Gano

Coach: P. Clement

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Christof Dierick · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
15,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.