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La Liga
Referee: Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez
Sociedad
U S U S U
0–2
Full-time
Ath Madrid
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Ath Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,7
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
0,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,8
This season — La Liga · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 46%
36%
56%
Points per game
1,4
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
52%
24%
Both score Ø 44%
48%
40%
Average goals
2,2
2,1
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

61% Possession 39%
19 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 3
12 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sociedad 8. · Ath Madrid 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 26 18 6 2 +41 60
2 Ath Madrid 25 14 8 3 +19 50
3 Real Madrid 26 15 3 8 +12 48
4 Getafe 26 11 9 6 +11 42
5 Alaves 26 11 7 8 -2 40
6 Sevilla 26 10 7 9 +7 37
7 Betis 26 10 6 10 -2 36
8 Sociedad 25 9 8 8 +5 35
9 Eibar 26 8 10 8 -1 34
10 Valencia 25 6 15 4 +4 33
11 Ath Bilbao 25 7 12 6 -3 33
12 Espanol 26 9 6 11 -8 33
13 Girona 26 7 10 9 -7 31
14 Leganes 25 7 9 9 -5 30
15 Levante 25 8 6 11 -8 30
16 Valladolid 26 6 8 12 -14 26
17 Celta 26 6 7 13 -8 25
18 Villarreal 26 4 11 11 -8 23
19 Vallecano 26 6 5 15 -17 23
20 Huesca 26 5 7 14 -16 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad Ath Madrid
Joseba Zaldúa 🟨
3′
Jon Bautista 🔁
↦ Willian José
27′
30′
Álvaro Morata 0–1
D. Godín
33′
Álvaro Morata 0–2
Koke
41′
🟨 Koke
Half-time 0–2
46′
🔁 S. Arias
↦ Filipe Luis
58′
🔁 T. Partey
↦ T. Lemar
59′
🟨 Rodrigo
62′
🟨 Koke
62′
🟥 Koke
63′
🟨 Diego Godín
Juanmi 🔁
↦ Zurutuza
68′
71′
🔁 Á. Correa
↦ Álvaro Morata
Rubén Pardo 🔁
↦ Igor Zubeldía
75′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-1-4-1
1 G. Rulli G
22 Raúl Navas D
2 Joseba Zaldúa D
3 Diego Llorente D
19 T. Hernández D
17 Zurutuza M
8 Mikel Merino M
5 Igor Zubeldía M
12 Willian José F
24 Sandro Ramírez F
10 Mikel Oyarzabal M
Bench (7)
21 Jon Bautista
7 Juanmi
14 Rubén Pardo
6 H. Moreno
23 Luca Sangalli
15 Aritz Elustondo
30 Andoni Zubiaurre

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Ath Madrid

4-4-2
13 J. Oblak G
20 Juanfran D
3 Filipe Luis D
2 D. Godín D
24 J. Giménez D
8 Saúl M
6 Koke M
11 T. Lemar M
14 Rodri Hernández M
7 A. Griezmann F
22 Álvaro Morata F
Bench (7)
4 S. Arias
5 T. Partey
10 Á. Correa
1 Adán
23 Vitolo
40 Víctor Mollejo
15 S. Savić

Coach: D. Simeone

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.