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Serie A
Referee: Davide Ghersini
Torino
T U T T S
2–0
Full-time
Bologna
S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Bologna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,7
This season — Serie A · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 35%
38%
31%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
62%
46%
Both score Ø 50%
62%
38%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%
13 Shots 3
6 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 2
4 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Torino 9. · Bologna 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 13 9 3 1 +9 30
2 Napoli 13 8 4 1 +16 28
3 Fiorentina 13 9 1 3 +15 28
4 Roma 13 8 3 2 +14 27
5 Sassuolo 13 6 4 3 +3 22
6 Juventus 13 6 3 4 +6 21
7 Milan 13 6 2 5 -2 20
8 Lazio 13 6 1 6 -4 19
9 Torino 13 5 3 5 +0 18
10 Atalanta 13 5 3 5 -2 18
11 Chievo 13 4 4 5 +3 16
12 Sampdoria 13 4 4 5 +1 16
13 Genoa 13 4 4 5 -3 16
14 Palermo 13 4 3 6 -4 15
15 Udinese 13 4 3 6 -4 15
16 Empoli 13 4 3 6 -5 15
17 Bologna 13 4 1 8 -4 13
18 Frosinone 13 3 2 8 -11 11
19 Verona 13 0 6 7 -13 6
20 Carpi 13 1 3 9 -15 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Torino Bologna
Half-time 0–0
54′
🔁 F. Brienza
↦ E. Giaccherini
63′
🔁 R. Acquafresca
↦ M. Mancosu
64′
🟨 Domenico Maietta
M. López 🔁
↦ F. Quagliarella
68′
1–0 A. Belotti
E. Moretti
75′
79′
🔁 A. Mounier
↦ G. Donsah
2–0 G. Vives
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Torino

1 D. Padelli G
24 E. Moretti D
5 C. Bovo D
3 C. Molinaro D
25 K. Glik D
33 Bruno Peres D
20 G. Vives M
6 A. Acquah M
16 D. Baselli M
27 F. Quagliarella F
9 A. Belotti F
Bench (10)
11 M. López
7 D. Zappacosta
13 L. Castellazzi
14 A. Gazzi
17 J. Martínez
18 P. Jansson
22 Amauri
23 S. Prcić
28 S. Ichazo
44 V. Pryyma

Bologna

83 A. Mirante G
28 D. Gastaldello D
13 L. Rossettini D
20 D. Maietta D
25 A. Masina D
33 M. Brighi M
17 E. Giaccherini M
22 L. Rizzo M
30 G. Donsah M
21 A. Diawara M
11 M. Mancosu F
Bench (12)
23 F. Brienza
18 R. Acquafresca
26 A. Mounier
1 Angelo Da Costa
2 M. Oikonomou
3 A. Morleo
5 E. Pulgar
6 L. Crisetig
15 I. M'baye
24 A. Ferrari
32 D. Stojanovic
90 M. Crimi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.