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Serie A

Referee: Daniele Orsato

Sampdoria

U S S T T

2–4

Full-time

Napoli

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Napoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,2

3,7

Scored

1,5

2,5

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,3

This season — Serie A · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 48%

30%

65%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

50%

65%

Both score Ø 63%

70%

55%

Average goals

3,1

2,9

Scored

1,5

2,1

Conceded

1,6

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

43% Possession 57%

8 Shots 23

4 Shots on target 9

2 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 3

4 Offside 2

0 Free kicks against 0

3 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sampdoria 14. · Napoli 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	20	13	5	2	+25	44
2	Juventus	20	13	3	4	+22	42
3	Fiorentina	21	13	2	6	+18	41
4	Inter	20	12	4	4	+12	40
5	Roma	20	9	8	3	+14	35
6	Milan	21	9	6	6	+4	33
7	Sassuolo	20	8	8	4	+4	32
8	Empoli	21	9	5	7	+1	32
9	Lazio	20	8	4	8	-4	28
10	Chievo	20	7	6	7	+4	27
11	Torino	21	7	5	9	-1	26
12	Atalanta	21	7	5	9	-3	26
13	Udinese	20	7	3	10	-13	24
14	Sampdoria	20	6	5	9	-3	23
15	Bologna	20	7	2	11	-5	23
16	Genoa	20	6	4	10	-3	22
17	Palermo	20	6	3	11	-14	21
18	Carpi	20	4	5	11	-16	17
19	Frosinone	21	4	4	13	-23	16
20	Verona	20	0	9	11	-19	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	10	8	2	0	+14	26
2	Fiorentina	11	8	1	2	+15	25
3	Roma	10	6	3	1	+11	21
4	Juventus	9	6	2	1	+10	20
5	Milan	10	6	2	2	+4	20
6	Inter	10	6	1	3	+4	19
7	Torino	11	5	3	3	+6	18
8	Lazio	10	5	3	2	+6	18
9	Sampdoria	10	5	2	3	+6	17
10	Atalanta	10	5	2	3	+5	17
11	Sassuolo	9	4	5	0	+4	17
12	Genoa	10	5	1	4	+4	16
13	Empoli	10	4	2	4	+1	14
14	Frosinone	11	4	2	5	-5	14
15	Chievo	10	3	4	3	+3	13
16	Carpi	11	3	3	5	-2	12
17	Bologna	11	3	2	6	-1	11
18	Palermo	10	3	2	5	-4	11
19	Udinese	10	3	2	5	-8	11
20	Verona	10	0	4	6	-9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	11	7	1	3	+12	22
2	Inter	10	6	3	1	+8	21
3	Napoli	10	5	3	2	+11	18
4	Empoli	11	5	3	3	+0	18
5	Fiorentina	10	5	1	4	+3	16
6	Sassuolo	11	4	3	4	+0	15
7	Roma	10	3	5	2	+3	14
8	Chievo	10	4	2	4	+1	14
9	Milan	11	3	4	4	+0	13
10	Udinese	10	4	1	5	-5	13
11	Bologna	9	4	0	5	-4	12
12	Lazio	10	3	1	6	-10	10
13	Palermo	10	3	1	6	-10	10
14	Atalanta	11	2	3	6	-8	9
15	Torino	10	2	2	6	-7	8
16	Genoa	10	1	3	6	-7	6
17	Sampdoria	10	1	3	6	-9	6
18	Verona	10	0	5	5	-10	5
19	Carpi	9	1	2	6	-14	5
20	Frosinone	10	0	2	8	-18	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.