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Bundesliga
Referee: Christian Dingert
Schalke 04
T U S T S
1–3
Full-time
Werder Bremen
T T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Werder Bremen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,7
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,3
This season — Bundesliga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 36%
47%
24%
Points per game
1,6
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
59%
65%
Both score Ø 62%
59%
65%
Average goals
2,7
2,9
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

61% Possession 39%
20 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
13 Corners 1
2 Offside 0
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Schalke 04 6. · Werder Bremen 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 18 16 1 1 +39 49
2 Dortmund 18 13 2 3 +26 41
3 Hertha 18 10 3 5 +8 33
4 M'gladbach 18 9 2 7 +2 29
5 Leverkusen 18 8 4 6 +5 28
6 Schalke 04 17 8 3 6 +0 27
7 Wolfsburg 18 7 5 6 +4 26
8 Mainz 18 7 3 8 -1 24
9 FC Koln 18 6 6 6 -5 24
10 FC Ingolstadt 04 18 6 5 7 -6 23
11 Hamburg 18 6 4 8 -5 22
12 Darmstadt 18 5 6 7 -8 21
13 Augsburg 18 5 5 8 -5 20
14 Ein Frankfurt 18 5 5 8 -6 20
15 Stuttgart 18 5 3 10 -13 18
16 Werder Bremen 17 4 3 10 -15 15
17 Hoffenheim 18 2 8 8 -8 14
18 Hannover 18 4 2 12 -12 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 Werder Bremen
1–0 J. Matip
J. Geis
4′
35′
🟨 Florian Grillitsch
40′
🔁 Z. Junuzović
↦ P. Bargfrede
43′
C. Fritz 1–1
Half-time 1–2
53′
C. Pizarro 1–2
C. Fritz
58′
🟨 Zlatko Junuzović
Y. Belhanda 🔁
↦ M. Meyer
60′
F. Di Santo 🔁
↦ J. Geis
76′
Sead Kolašinac 🟨
77′
80′
🟨 Claudio Pizarro
85′
🔁 L. Fröde
↦ C. Pizarro
89′
A. Ujah 1–3
C. Fritz
92′
🔁 F. Bartels
↦ L. Öztunali
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Schalke 04

1 R. Fährmann G
3 Júnior Caiçara D
32 J. Matip D
6 S. Kolašinac D
33 R. Neustädter D
5 J. Geis D
8 L. Goretzka M
7 M. Meyer M
19 L. Sané F
25 K. Huntelaar F
13 E. Choupo-Moting F
Bench (7)
11 Y. Belhanda
9 F. Di Santo
23 P. Højbjerg
27 S. Riether
2 M. Friedrich
18 S. Sam
34 F. Giefer

Werder Bremen

42 F. Wiedwald G
23 T. Gebre Selassie D
3 P. Djilobodji D
2 S. García D
7 J. Vestergaard D
8 C. Fritz M
44 P. Bargfrede M
11 L. Öztunali F
14 C. Pizarro F
21 A. Ujah F
27 F. Grillitsch M
Bench (7)
16 Z. Junuzović
39 L. Fröde
22 F. Bartels
6 L. Kleinheisler
20 U. Garcia
35 M. Eggestein
43 E. Oelschlägel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Christian Dingert · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.