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La Liga

Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano

Ath Bilbao

S S U T T

5–2

Full-time

Eibar

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Eibar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

1,0

2,3

Conceded

2,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,5

This season — La Liga · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 43%

40%

45%

Points per game

1,4

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

60%

40%

Both score Ø 50%

45%

55%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,4

1,6

Conceded

1,4

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

55% Possession 45%

10 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 2

2 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 9. · Eibar 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	20	15	3	2	+36	48
2	Ath Madrid	20	15	2	3	+22	47
3	Real Madrid	20	13	4	3	+38	43
4	Villarreal	21	12	5	4	+10	41
5	Celta	21	10	4	7	-1	34
6	Eibar	20	9	6	5	+11	33
7	Sevilla	20	9	5	6	+6	32
8	La Coruna	20	6	10	4	+3	28
9	Ath Bilbao	20	8	4	8	-1	28
10	Getafe	21	7	5	9	-5	26
11	Valencia	20	5	9	6	+4	24
12	Malaga	21	6	6	9	-3	24
13	Espanol	21	6	4	11	-15	22
14	Sociedad	21	5	6	10	-9	21
15	Betis	20	5	6	9	-15	21
16	Granada	21	5	5	11	-19	20
17	Vallecano	21	5	4	12	-19	19
18	Las Palmas	20	4	6	10	-11	18
19	Sp Gijon	20	5	3	12	-13	18
20	Levante	20	3	5	12	-19	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	11	10	1	0	+31	31
2	Real Madrid	11	9	1	1	+29	28
3	Sevilla	11	9	0	2	+12	27
4	Villarreal	11	8	2	1	+10	26
5	Ath Madrid	9	7	1	1	+7	22
6	Getafe	11	6	3	2	+10	21
7	Eibar	11	6	3	2	+8	21
8	Ath Bilbao	9	5	2	2	+8	17
9	Celta	11	5	2	4	+0	17
10	Valencia	10	3	7	0	+7	16
11	Espanol	10	4	4	2	-2	16
12	Malaga	10	4	3	3	+4	15
13	Las Palmas	11	4	3	4	+0	15
14	Vallecano	11	4	2	5	-2	14
15	La Coruna	9	3	4	2	+5	13
16	Sociedad	10	3	3	4	-1	12
17	Sp Gijon	9	3	2	4	+1	11
18	Granada	10	3	2	5	-7	11
19	Levante	10	2	3	5	-6	9
20	Betis	9	1	3	5	-9	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	11	8	1	2	+15	25
2	Barcelona	9	5	2	2	+5	17
3	Celta	10	5	2	3	-1	17
4	Real Madrid	9	4	3	2	+9	15
5	Villarreal	10	4	3	3	+0	15
6	La Coruna	11	3	6	2	-2	15
7	Betis	11	4	3	4	-6	15
8	Eibar	9	3	3	3	+3	12
9	Ath Bilbao	11	3	2	6	-9	11
10	Malaga	11	2	3	6	-7	9
11	Sociedad	11	2	3	6	-8	9
12	Granada	11	2	3	6	-12	9
13	Valencia	10	2	2	6	-3	8
14	Sp Gijon	11	2	1	8	-14	7
15	Espanol	11	2	0	9	-13	6
16	Sevilla	9	0	5	4	-6	5
17	Levante	10	1	2	7	-13	5
18	Getafe	10	1	2	7	-15	5
19	Vallecano	10	1	2	7	-17	5
20	Las Palmas	9	0	3	6	-11	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.