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Serie A

Referee: Luca Banti

Carpi

T T U U U

2–1

Full-time

Frosinone

T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Carpi Frosinone

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

1,7

Scored

0,5

0,8

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,0

This season — Serie A · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 20%

14%

25%

Points per game

0,8

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

57%

46%

Both score Ø 54%

61%

46%

Average goals

2,4

2,9

Scored

0,9

1,0

Conceded

1,6

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%

12 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Carpi 19. · Frosinone 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	29	21	4	4	+36	67
2	Napoli	28	18	7	3	+35	61
3	Roma	28	16	8	4	+30	56
4	Inter	29	16	6	7	+12	54
5	Fiorentina	28	16	5	7	+18	53
6	Milan	29	13	9	7	+9	48
7	Sassuolo	29	11	11	7	+4	44
8	Lazio	28	10	8	10	-2	38
9	Bologna	29	10	6	13	-3	36
10	Chievo	29	9	8	12	-6	35
11	Empoli	29	9	8	12	-8	35
12	Torino	28	8	9	11	-1	33
13	Sampdoria	29	8	8	13	-4	32
14	Genoa	28	8	7	13	-4	31
15	Atalanta	28	7	9	12	-7	30
16	Udinese	28	8	6	14	-18	30
17	Palermo	28	7	6	15	-22	27
18	Frosinone	28	7	5	16	-25	26
19	Carpi	28	4	10	14	-20	22
20	Verona	28	2	12	14	-24	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	14	11	3	0	+21	36
2	Juventus	14	11	2	1	+16	35
3	Roma	14	10	3	1	+22	33
4	Fiorentina	14	10	2	2	+17	32
5	Inter	15	10	2	3	+10	32
6	Milan	14	9	3	2	+9	30
7	Lazio	14	7	3	4	+8	24
8	Genoa	14	7	3	4	+6	24
9	Sassuolo	14	6	6	2	+3	24
10	Sampdoria	14	6	4	4	+6	22
11	Torino	15	5	6	4	+5	21
12	Frosinone	15	6	3	6	-4	21
13	Atalanta	14	5	4	5	+2	19
14	Chievo	14	4	6	4	+0	18
15	Bologna	15	4	5	6	+0	17
16	Empoli	14	4	4	6	-2	16
17	Palermo	14	4	3	7	-5	15
18	Udinese	13	4	3	6	-7	15
19	Carpi	14	3	5	6	-4	14
20	Verona	15	2	6	7	-9	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	15	10	2	3	+20	32
2	Napoli	14	7	4	3	+14	25
3	Roma	14	6	5	3	+8	23
4	Inter	14	6	4	4	+2	22
5	Fiorentina	14	6	3	5	+1	21
6	Sassuolo	15	5	5	5	+1	20
7	Bologna	14	6	1	7	-3	19
8	Empoli	15	5	4	6	-6	19
9	Milan	15	4	6	5	+0	18
10	Chievo	15	5	2	8	-6	17
11	Udinese	15	4	3	8	-11	15
12	Lazio	14	3	5	6	-10	14
13	Torino	13	3	3	7	-6	12
14	Palermo	14	3	3	8	-17	12
15	Atalanta	14	2	5	7	-9	11
16	Sampdoria	15	2	4	9	-10	10
17	Carpi	14	1	5	8	-16	8
18	Genoa	14	1	4	9	-10	7
19	Verona	13	0	6	7	-15	6
20	Frosinone	13	1	2	10	-21	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.