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Serie A
Referee: Antonio Damato
Torino
S S T T S
1–2
Full-time
Napoli
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Napoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,7
3,2
Scored
2,2
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,8
This season — Serie A · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 49%
33%
64%
Points per game
1,3
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
56%
58%
Both score Ø 59%
64%
53%
Average goals
2,8
2,9
Scored
1,4
2,1
Conceded
1,4
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

38% Possession 62%
7 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 3
3 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
5 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Torino 11. · Napoli 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 36 28 4 4 +51 88
2 Roma 37 22 11 4 +40 77
3 Napoli 36 23 7 6 +43 76
4 Inter 37 20 7 10 +14 67
5 Fiorentina 37 17 10 10 +16 61
6 Sassuolo 37 15 13 9 +7 58
7 Milan 37 15 12 10 +8 57
8 Lazio 37 15 9 13 +2 54
9 Chievo 37 13 10 14 -2 49
10 Genoa 37 13 7 17 -2 46
11 Torino 36 12 9 15 -1 45
12 Empoli 37 11 10 16 -10 43
13 Atalanta 37 10 12 15 -7 42
14 Bologna 37 11 8 18 -12 41
15 Sampdoria 37 10 10 17 -8 40
16 Udinese 37 10 9 18 -24 39
17 Palermo 37 9 9 19 -28 36
18 Carpi 37 8 11 18 -21 35
19 Frosinone 37 8 7 22 -37 31
20 Verona 36 4 13 19 -29 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Jan -16 Napoli – Torino 2–1

Match report

Torino Napoli
3′
🟨 Raúl Albiol
12′
⚽ G. Higuaín 0–1
M. Hamšík
20′
⚽ José Callejón 0–2
M. Hamšík
Giuseppe Vives 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–2
D. Baselli 🔁
↦ A. Acquah
52′
Cesare Bovo 🟨
60′
Pontus Jansson 🟨
63′
1–2 Bruno Peres ⚽
G. Vives
66′
C. Molinaro 🔁
↦ D. Zappacosta
73′
73′
🔁 D. Mertens
↦ L. Insigne
C. Immobile 🔁
↦ J. Martínez
78′
81′
🔁 David López
↦ M. Hamšík
Marco Benassi 🟨
82′
83′
🔁 O. El Kaddouri
↦ José Callejón
Giuseppe Vives 🟨
90′
Giuseppe Vives 🟥
90′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Torino

1 D. Padelli G
5 C. Bovo D
18 P. Jansson D
33 Bruno Peres D
21 G. Silva D
7 D. Zappacosta M
20 G. Vives M
6 A. Acquah M
15 M. Benassi M
17 J. Martínez F
9 A. Belotti F
Bench (12)
16 D. Baselli
3 C. Molinaro
10 C. Immobile
4 J. Obi
8 A. Farnerud
11 M. López
13 L. Castellazzi
14 A. Gazzi
19 N. Maksimović
24 E. Moretti
25 K. Glik
28 S. Ichazo

Napoli

25 Pepe Reina G
33 Albiol D
26 K. Koulibaly D
2 E. Hysaj D
31 F. Ghoulam D
17 M. Hamšík M
5 Allan M
8 Jorginho M
9 G. Higuaín F
7 José Callejón F
24 L. Insigne F
Bench (12)
14 D. Mertens
19 David López
77 O. El Kaddouri
1 Rafael
3 I. Strinić
6 M. Valdifiori
11 C. Maggio
18 V. Regini
21 V. Chiricheş
22 Gabriel
23 M. Gabbiadini
88 A. Grassi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Antonio Damato · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.