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Serie A
Referee: Carmine Russo
Juventus
S S S S T
4–1
Full-time
Sampdoria
T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Sampdoria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,5
This season — Serie A · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 56%
78%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
67%
44%
Both score Ø 56%
44%
67%
Average goals
2,6
2,4
Scored
1,9
1,1
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

62% Possession 38%
13 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 2
6 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Juventus 1. · Sampdoria 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 9 7 0 2 +11 21
2 Roma 9 6 1 2 +12 19
3 Milan 10 6 1 3 +2 19
4 Napoli 9 5 2 2 +7 17
5 Torino 9 4 3 2 +8 15
6 Lazio 9 4 3 2 +6 15
7 Genoa 9 4 3 2 +5 15
8 Chievo 9 4 2 3 +1 14
9 Atalanta 9 4 1 4 -1 13
10 Sassuolo 9 4 1 4 -2 13
11 Cagliari 9 4 1 4 -3 13
12 Fiorentina 8 3 3 2 +2 12
13 Bologna 9 3 3 3 -3 12
14 Inter 9 3 2 4 -1 11
15 Sampdoria 9 3 2 4 -2 11
16 Udinese 9 3 1 5 -5 10
17 Pescara 9 1 4 4 -5 7
18 Empoli 9 1 3 5 -9 6
19 Palermo 9 1 3 5 -10 6
20 Crotone 9 0 1 8 -13 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Juventus Sampdoria
1–0 M. Mandžukić
J. Cuadrado
4′
2–0 G. Chiellini
M. Pjanić
9′
Alex Sandro 🔁
↦ P. Evra
40′
42′
🟨 Matías Silvestre
Half-time 2–1
57′
P. Schick 2–1
D. Praet
61′
🔁 L. Muriel
↦ P. Schick
61′
🔁 F. Quagliarella
↦ A. Budimir
62′
🟨 Édgar Barreto
3–1 M. Pjanić
65′
M. Lemina 🔁
↦ C. Marchisio
73′
74′
🔁 F. Đuričić
↦ É. Barreto
K. Asamoah 🔁
↦ M. Pjanić
82′
4–1 G. Chiellini
J. Cuadrado
87′
89′
🟨 Luca Cigarini
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Juventus

3-5-2
25 Neto G
33 P. Evra D
23 Dani Alves D
19 L. Bonucci D
3 G. Chiellini D
6 S. Khedira M
8 C. Marchisio M
5 M. Pjanić M
9 G. Higuaín F
17 M. Mandžukić F
7 J. Cuadrado M
Bench (12)
12 Alex Sandro
18 M. Lemina
22 K. Asamoah
11 Hernanes
27 S. Sturaro
15 A. Barzagli
24 D. Rugani
32 E. Audero
26 S. Lichtsteiner
36 L. Loria
34 M. Kean
4 M. Benatia

Coach: M. Allegri

Sampdoria

4-3-1-2
1 C. Puggioni G
26 M. Silvestre D
19 V. Regini D
22 J. Sala D
37 M. Škriniar D
8 É. Barreto M
21 L. Cigarini M
11 R. Álvarez M
18 D. Praet M
47 A. Budimir F
14 P. Schick F
Bench (12)
9 L. Muriel
27 F. Quagliarella
23 F. Đuričić
92 A. Tozzo
3 S. Amuzie
6 M. Eramo
13 Pedro Pereira
34 L. Torreira
15 L. Krajnc
10 Bruno Fernandes
17 A. Palombo
16 K. Linetty

Coach: M. Giampaolo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Carmine Russo · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
15,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.