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Serie A
Referee: Maurizio Mariani
Napoli
U S T T S
2–0
Full-time
Empoli
T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Napoli Empoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,3
1,2
Scored
1,3
0,0
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,2
This season — Serie A · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 34%
56%
11%
Points per game
1,9
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
67%
22%
Both score Ø 34%
56%
11%
Average goals
3,0
1,4
Scored
1,9
0,2
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
36 Shots 8
10 Shots on target 2
12 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 8
11 Corners 8
2 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Napoli 4. · Empoli 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 9 7 0 2 +11 21
2 Roma 9 6 1 2 +12 19
3 Milan 10 6 1 3 +2 19
4 Napoli 9 5 2 2 +7 17
5 Torino 9 4 3 2 +8 15
6 Lazio 9 4 3 2 +6 15
7 Genoa 9 4 3 2 +5 15
8 Chievo 9 4 2 3 +1 14
9 Atalanta 9 4 1 4 -1 13
10 Sassuolo 9 4 1 4 -2 13
11 Cagliari 9 4 1 4 -3 13
12 Fiorentina 8 3 3 2 +2 12
13 Bologna 9 3 3 3 -3 12
14 Inter 9 3 2 4 -1 11
15 Sampdoria 9 3 2 4 -2 11
16 Udinese 9 3 1 5 -5 10
17 Pescara 9 1 4 4 -5 7
18 Empoli 9 1 3 5 -9 6
19 Palermo 9 1 3 5 -10 6
20 Crotone 9 0 1 8 -13 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Napoli Empoli
38′
🟨 Giuseppe Bellusci
Half-time 1–0
1–0 D. Mertens
51′
Dries Mertens 🟨
52′
55′
🔁 A. Tello
↦ R. Krunić
67′
🔁 M. Maccarone
↦ L. Mchedlidze
70′
🔁 D. Croce
↦ M. Büchel
M. Hamšík 🔁
↦ Allan
71′
A. Diawara 🔁
↦ Jorginho
72′
E. Hysaj 🔁
↦ C. Maggio
78′
2–0 V. Chiricheș
M. Hamšík
81′
83′
🟨 Andrés Tello
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Napoli

4-3-3
25 Pepe Reina G
11 C. Maggio D
21 V. Chiricheș D
26 K. Koulibaly D
31 F. Ghoulam D
5 Allan M
20 P. Zieliński M
8 Jorginho M
14 D. Mertens F
7 José Callejón F
24 L. Insigne F
Bench (12)
17 M. Hamšík
42 A. Diawara
2 E. Hysaj
1 Rafael
3 I. Strinić
4 E. Giaccherini
19 N. Maksimović
22 L. Sepe
30 M. Rog
62 L. Tonelli
77 O. El Kaddouri
94 R. Insigne

Coach: M. Sarri

Empoli

4-3-1-2
28 L. Skorupski
6 G. Bellusci D
15 A. Costa D
13 F. Veseli D
4 F. Dimarco D
77 M. Büchel M
10 R. Saponara M
33 R. Krunić M
8 A. El Hadji M
9 L. Mchedlidze F
20 M. Pucciarelli F
Bench (12)
88 A. Tello
7 M. Maccarone
11 D. Croce
1 M. Pugliesi
3 M. Zambelli
5 J. Mauri
19 F. Barba
21 M. Pasqual
23 A. Pelagotti
24 U. Ćosić
31 Matheus Pereira
89 G. Marilungo

Coach: G. Martusciello

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Maurizio Mariani · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.