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Pro League
Referee: Nicolas Laforge
St Truiden
S T U U T
0–2
Full-time
Waregem
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Waregem
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,3
This season — Pro League · 11/8 matches
Win Ø 53%
18%
88%
Points per game
0,8
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
55%
50%
Both score Ø 47%
55%
38%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,1
2,3
Conceded
1,5
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

51% Possession 49%
6 Shots 3
3 Shots on target 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 1
6 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Truiden 14. · Waregem 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Waregem 8 7 0 1 +13 21
2 Standard 11 5 4 2 +11 19
3 Anderlecht 8 5 2 1 +8 17
4 Genk 11 5 2 4 -1 17
5 Kortrijk 11 4 4 3 +2 16
6 Mechelen 11 4 3 4 +2 15
7 Oostende 8 4 2 2 +2 14
8 Gent 6 4 1 1 +6 13
9 Club Brugge 7 4 1 2 +5 13
10 Charleroi 6 3 3 0 +3 12
11 Royal Excel Mouscron 11 3 1 7 -7 10
12 Lokeren 12 3 1 8 -8 10
13 Eupen 11 3 1 7 -12 10
14 St Truiden 11 2 3 6 -4 9
15 Westerlo 11 2 3 6 -10 9
16 Beveren 11 2 3 6 -10 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Truiden Waregem
11′
🔁 M. Baudry
↦ L. Marrone
24′
L. Lerager 0–1
O. Kaya
Cristian Cuevas 🟨
33′
38′
D. De fauw 0–2
M. Leye
45′
🟨 Christophe Lepoint
Half-time 0–2
N. Proschwitz 🔁
↦ Y. Boli
57′
M. Bagayoko 🔁
↦ Jorge Pulido
57′
K. Koubemba 🔁
↦ J. Bamba
68′
Djene 🟨
73′
76′
🔁 J. Naessens
↦ O. Kaya
86′
🔁 S. Coopman
↦ A. Cordaro
Nick Proschwitz 🟨
87′
Djene 🟨
90′
Djene 🟥
90′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

St Truiden

4-5-1
28 W. Dutoît G
26 Ruben Fernandes D
4 Jorge Pulido D
3 D. Dakonam D
6 S. De Petter M
24 P. Valdivia M
8 S. Peeters M
16 C. Cuevas M
11 Y. Boli F
19 Cristian Ceballos M
37 J. Bamba F
Bench (7)
9 N. Proschwitz
18 M. Bagayoko
77 K. Koubemba
14 P. Gerkens
20 D. Dussaut
21 L. Pirard
27 I. Swers

Coach: I. Leko

Waregem

4-4-2
22 K. Steppe G
6 T. Derijck M
2 D. De fauw D
5 B. Verboom D
10 O. Kaya M
29 A. Cordaro M
23 C. Lepoint M
4 L. Marrone M
17 S. Meïté M
8 L. Lerager M
9 M. Leye F
Bench (7)
3 M. Baudry
11 J. Naessens
43 S. Coopman
7 Vetokele
15 K. Madu
16 O. Oularé
25 L. Bostyn

Coach: F. Dury

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Nicolas Laforge · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.