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Serie A

Referee: Paolo Tagliavento

Sampdoria

T T T U U

2–1

Full-time

Genoa

T U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Genoa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,5

1,5

Scored

0,8

Conceded

1,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,2

This season — Serie A · 8/7 matches

Win Ø 34%

25%

43%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

38%

29%

Both score Ø 53%

63%

43%

Average goals

2,4

1,9

Scored

1,0

1,1

Conceded

1,4

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,4

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

37% Possession 63%

14 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 6

3 Offside 4

12 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sampdoria 15. · Genoa 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	8	7	0	1	+12	21
2	Roma	8	5	1	2	+9	16
3	Milan	8	5	1	2	+4	16
4	Torino	8	4	2	2	+8	14
5	Napoli	8	4	2	2	+6	14
6	Lazio	8	4	2	2	+6	14
7	Chievo	8	4	1	3	+1	13
8	Cagliari	8	4	1	3	-1	13
9	Genoa	7	3	3	1	+3	12
10	Sassuolo	8	4	0	4	-2	12
11	Inter	8	3	2	3	+0	11
12	Bologna	8	3	2	3	-3	11
13	Atalanta	8	3	1	4	-2	10
14	Fiorentina	7	2	3	2	+0	9
15	Sampdoria	8	2	2	4	-3	8
16	Pescara	8	1	4	3	-3	7
17	Udinese	8	2	1	5	-7	7
18	Palermo	8	1	3	4	-7	6
19	Empoli	8	1	2	5	-9	5
20	Crotone	8	0	1	7	-12	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Roma	4	4	0	0	+10	12
2	Juventus	4	4	0	0	+8	12
3	Torino	4	3	1	0	+7	10
4	Cagliari	4	3	1	0	+5	10
5	Napoli	4	3	0	1	+4	9
6	Milan	4	3	0	1	+3	9
7	Bologna	4	3	0	1	+3	9
8	Sassuolo	4	3	0	1	+1	9
9	Fiorentina	4	2	2	0	+2	8
10	Lazio	4	2	1	1	+4	7
11	Chievo	4	2	1	1	+1	7
12	Genoa	4	1	3	0	+2	6
13	Atalanta	4	2	0	2	+0	6
14	Inter	4	1	2	1	+0	5
15	Sampdoria	3	1	1	1	+0	4
16	Udinese	4	1	1	2	-2	4
17	Pescara	5	0	3	2	-3	3
18	Empoli	4	1	0	3	-5	3
19	Crotone	3	0	1	2	-4	1
20	Palermo	4	0	0	4	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	4	3	0	1	+4	9
2	Lazio	4	2	1	1	+2	7
3	Milan	4	2	1	1	+1	7
4	Palermo	4	1	3	0	+1	6
5	Genoa	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Inter	4	2	0	2	+0	6
7	Chievo	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Napoli	4	1	2	1	+2	5
9	Torino	4	1	1	2	+1	4
10	Pescara	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Roma	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Atalanta	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Sampdoria	5	1	1	3	-3	4
14	Sassuolo	4	1	0	3	-3	3
15	Udinese	4	1	0	3	-5	3
16	Cagliari	4	1	0	3	-6	3
17	Empoli	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Bologna	4	0	2	2	-6	2
19	Fiorentina	3	0	1	2	-2	1
20	Crotone	5	0	0	5	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.