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Serie A

Referee: Marco Guida

Milan

U S U T T

0–1

Full-time

Sampdoria

U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Milan Sampdoria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

0,8

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

This season — Serie A · 21/22 matches

Win Ø 42%

52%

32%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 51%

57%

45%

Both score Ø 58%

52%

64%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,1

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

67% Possession 33%

20 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

8 Corners 3

5 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 12

5 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Milan 8. · Sampdoria 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	21	17	0	4	+28	51
2	Napoli	23	14	6	3	+29	48
3	Roma	22	15	2	5	+23	47
4	Inter	22	13	3	6	+14	42
5	Lazio	22	12	4	6	+10	40
6	Atalanta	22	12	3	7	+9	39
7	Fiorentina	22	10	7	5	+9	37
8	Milan	21	11	4	6	+6	37
9	Torino	22	8	7	7	+7	31
10	Udinese	22	8	4	10	-2	28
11	Chievo	22	8	4	10	-8	28
12	Sampdoria	22	7	6	9	-4	27
13	Bologna	22	7	6	9	-11	27
14	Cagliari	22	8	3	11	-14	27
15	Genoa	22	6	7	9	-5	25
16	Sassuolo	22	7	3	12	-6	24
17	Empoli	22	5	6	11	-17	21
18	Crotone	21	3	4	14	-17	13
19	Palermo	22	2	5	15	-24	11
20	Pescara	22	1	6	15	-27	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	11	11	0	0	+23	33
2	Roma	10	10	0	0	+21	30
3	Napoli	12	8	3	1	+14	27
4	Inter	11	8	2	1	+16	26
5	Lazio	12	8	1	3	+11	25
6	Milan	11	7	2	2	+6	23
7	Cagliari	11	7	2	2	+4	23
8	Torino	11	6	4	1	+11	22
9	Atalanta	10	7	0	3	+5	21
10	Fiorentina	11	5	6	0	+5	21
11	Sampdoria	11	6	3	2	+5	21
12	Genoa	11	4	5	2	+6	17
13	Udinese	12	5	2	5	+1	17
14	Bologna	11	5	2	4	-2	17
15	Sassuolo	11	5	1	5	-1	16
16	Chievo	11	4	3	4	-4	15
17	Empoli	11	4	2	5	-8	14
18	Crotone	10	3	2	5	-2	11
19	Pescara	11	0	4	7	-14	4
20	Palermo	10	0	1	9	-15	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	11	6	3	2	+15	21
2	Juventus	10	6	0	4	+5	18
3	Atalanta	12	5	3	4	+4	18
4	Roma	12	5	2	5	+2	17
5	Fiorentina	11	5	1	5	+4	16
6	Inter	11	5	1	5	-2	16
7	Lazio	10	4	3	3	-1	15
8	Milan	10	4	2	4	+0	14
9	Chievo	11	4	1	6	-4	13
10	Udinese	10	3	2	5	-3	11
11	Palermo	12	2	4	6	-9	10
12	Bologna	11	2	4	5	-9	10
13	Torino	11	2	3	6	-4	9
14	Sassuolo	11	2	2	7	-5	8
15	Genoa	11	2	2	7	-11	8
16	Empoli	11	1	4	6	-9	7
17	Sampdoria	11	1	3	7	-9	6
18	Pescara	11	1	2	8	-13	5
19	Cagliari	11	1	1	9	-18	4
20	Crotone	11	0	2	9	-15	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.