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Serie A

Referee: Davide Massa

Milan

S U S S T

0–0

Full-time

Atalanta

S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Milan Atalanta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

1,8

2,0

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

This season — Serie A · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 60%

63%

56%

Points per game

2,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

56%

69%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,9

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,6

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%

11 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

23 Free kicks against 28

3 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Milan 3. · Atalanta 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	16	13	0	3	+21	39
2	Roma	16	11	2	3	+20	35
3	Milan	16	10	2	4	+7	32
4	Napoli	16	9	4	3	+17	31
5	Lazio	16	9	4	3	+12	31
6	Atalanta	16	9	1	6	+5	28
7	Fiorentina	16	7	5	4	+6	26
8	Torino	16	7	4	5	+10	25
9	Inter	16	7	3	6	+3	24
10	Genoa	16	6	5	5	+1	23
11	Chievo	16	6	4	6	+0	22
12	Sampdoria	16	6	4	6	-2	22
13	Udinese	16	6	3	7	-2	21
14	Cagliari	17	6	2	9	-16	20
15	Sassuolo	16	5	2	9	-7	17
16	Bologna	16	4	5	7	-8	17
17	Empoli	17	3	5	9	-15	14
18	Crotone	16	2	3	11	-16	9
19	Pescara	16	1	5	10	-16	8
20	Palermo	16	1	3	12	-20	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Roma	8	8	0	0	+18	24
2	Juventus	8	8	0	0	+17	24
3	Milan	8	6	1	1	+6	19
4	Torino	8	5	2	1	+10	17
5	Napoli	8	5	2	1	+9	17
6	Inter	8	5	2	1	+8	17
7	Lazio	8	5	1	2	+8	16
8	Genoa	8	4	4	0	+8	16
9	Sampdoria	8	5	1	2	+4	16
10	Fiorentina	8	4	4	0	+4	16
11	Cagliari	8	5	1	2	+0	16
12	Atalanta	8	5	0	3	+3	15
13	Bologna	9	4	2	3	+2	14
14	Chievo	8	3	3	2	+1	12
15	Sassuolo	7	4	0	3	-1	12
16	Udinese	8	3	2	3	+0	11
17	Crotone	8	2	2	4	-4	8
18	Empoli	9	2	2	5	-10	8
19	Pescara	8	0	4	4	-8	4
20	Palermo	8	0	0	8	-14	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lazio	8	4	3	1	+4	15
2	Juventus	8	5	0	3	+4	15
3	Napoli	8	4	2	2	+8	14
4	Atalanta	8	4	1	3	+2	13
5	Milan	8	4	1	3	+1	13
6	Roma	8	3	2	3	+2	11
7	Fiorentina	8	3	1	4	+2	10
8	Chievo	8	3	1	4	-1	10
9	Udinese	8	3	1	4	-2	10
10	Torino	8	2	2	4	+0	8
11	Inter	8	2	1	5	-5	7
12	Genoa	8	2	1	5	-7	7
13	Empoli	8	1	3	4	-5	6
14	Sampdoria	8	1	3	4	-6	6
15	Palermo	8	1	3	4	-6	6
16	Sassuolo	9	1	2	6	-6	5
17	Pescara	8	1	1	6	-8	4
18	Cagliari	9	1	1	7	-16	4
19	Bologna	7	0	3	4	-10	3
20	Crotone	8	0	1	7	-12	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.