Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Serie A

Referee: Daniele Doveri

Milan

S S S U T

4–1

Full-time

Sampdoria

S U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Milan Sampdoria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,3

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,3

This season — Serie A · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 39%

46%

31%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

46%

38%

Both score Ø 54%

46%

62%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

49% Possession 51%

22 Shots 10

9 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

4 Corners 2

4 Offside 0

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Milan 8. · Sampdoria 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	13	9	3	1	+9	30
2	Napoli	13	8	4	1	+16	28
3	Fiorentina	13	9	1	3	+15	28
4	Roma	13	8	3	2	+14	27
5	Sassuolo	13	6	4	3	+3	22
6	Juventus	13	6	3	4	+6	21
7	Torino	14	6	3	5	+2	21
8	Milan	13	6	2	5	-2	20
9	Lazio	13	6	1	6	-4	19
10	Atalanta	13	5	3	5	-2	18
11	Chievo	13	4	4	5	+3	16
12	Sampdoria	13	4	4	5	+1	16
13	Genoa	13	4	4	5	-3	16
14	Palermo	13	4	3	6	-4	15
15	Udinese	13	4	3	6	-4	15
16	Empoli	13	4	3	6	-5	15
17	Bologna	14	4	1	9	-6	13
18	Frosinone	13	3	2	8	-11	11
19	Verona	13	0	6	7	-13	6
20	Carpi	13	1	3	9	-15	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Roma	6	5	1	0	+11	16
2	Fiorentina	7	5	1	1	+10	16
3	Napoli	6	5	1	0	+10	16
4	Lazio	7	5	1	1	+8	16
5	Inter	7	5	1	1	+5	16
6	Sampdoria	7	4	2	1	+7	14
7	Torino	7	4	2	1	+6	14
8	Juventus	7	4	2	1	+5	14
9	Sassuolo	6	4	2	0	+4	14
10	Atalanta	6	4	1	1	+6	13
11	Genoa	6	4	1	1	+3	13
12	Milan	6	4	1	1	+0	13
13	Frosinone	6	3	1	2	+2	10
14	Chievo	6	2	2	2	+3	8
15	Udinese	7	2	2	3	-1	8
16	Palermo	7	2	2	3	-2	8
17	Bologna	7	2	1	4	+0	7
18	Empoli	6	2	1	3	-2	7
19	Carpi	7	1	2	4	-3	5
20	Verona	7	0	3	4	-7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	6	4	2	0	+4	14
2	Napoli	7	3	3	1	+6	12
3	Fiorentina	6	4	0	2	+5	12
4	Roma	7	3	2	2	+3	11
5	Chievo	7	2	2	3	+0	8
6	Sassuolo	7	2	2	3	-1	8
7	Empoli	7	2	2	3	-3	8
8	Juventus	6	2	1	3	+1	7
9	Milan	7	2	1	4	-2	7
10	Palermo	6	2	1	3	-2	7
11	Udinese	6	2	1	3	-3	7
12	Torino	7	2	1	4	-4	7
13	Bologna	7	2	0	5	-6	6
14	Atalanta	7	1	2	4	-8	5
15	Genoa	7	0	3	4	-6	3
16	Verona	6	0	3	3	-6	3
17	Lazio	6	1	0	5	-12	3
18	Sampdoria	6	0	2	4	-6	2
19	Carpi	6	0	1	5	-12	1
20	Frosinone	7	0	1	6	-13	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.