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Serie A

Referee: Paolo Tagliavento

Inter

S S T S S

1–3

Full-time

Roma

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Roma

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 83%

83%

Points per game

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

1,7

2,3

Conceded

0,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+1,7

This season — Serie A · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 66%

60%

72%

Points per game

1,9

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

56%

64%

Both score Ø 48%

48%

Average goals

2,6

3,0

Scored

1,6

2,2

Conceded

1,0

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%

14 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

10 Corners 2

0 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 22

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Inter 6. · Roma 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	26	22	0	4	+38	66
2	Roma	25	18	2	5	+32	56
3	Napoli	26	16	6	4	+31	54
4	Atalanta	26	16	3	7	+16	51
5	Lazio	26	15	5	6	+16	50
6	Inter	25	15	3	7	+16	48
7	Milan	26	14	5	7	+8	47
8	Fiorentina	25	11	7	7	+7	40
9	Torino	25	9	8	8	+6	35
10	Sampdoria	26	9	8	9	-1	35
11	Chievo	26	10	5	11	-6	35
12	Cagliari	26	9	4	13	-17	31
13	Sassuolo	26	9	3	14	-7	30
14	Udinese	26	8	5	13	-7	29
15	Bologna	26	7	7	12	-15	28
16	Genoa	26	6	8	12	-13	26
17	Empoli	26	5	7	14	-22	22
18	Palermo	26	3	6	17	-28	15
19	Crotone	26	3	4	19	-24	13
20	Pescara	26	2	6	18	-30	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	14	14	0	0	+29	42
2	Roma	12	12	0	0	+28	36
3	Napoli	14	9	3	2	+14	30
4	Inter	12	9	2	1	+18	29
5	Lazio	14	9	2	3	+12	29
6	Atalanta	12	9	0	3	+8	27
7	Milan	13	8	2	3	+6	26
8	Torino	12	7	4	1	+13	25
9	Sampdoria	13	7	4	2	+7	25
10	Fiorentina	12	6	6	0	+8	24
11	Cagliari	12	7	2	3	+2	23
12	Chievo	14	5	4	5	-4	19
13	Genoa	13	4	6	3	+5	18
14	Udinese	13	5	2	6	+0	17
15	Bologna	13	5	2	6	-4	17
16	Sassuolo	13	5	1	7	-4	16
17	Empoli	13	4	3	6	-9	15
18	Crotone	13	3	2	8	-7	11
19	Pescara	13	1	4	8	-13	7
20	Palermo	13	1	2	10	-16	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	12	7	3	2	+17	24
2	Juventus	12	8	0	4	+9	24
3	Atalanta	14	7	3	4	+8	24
4	Lazio	12	6	3	3	+4	21
5	Milan	13	6	3	4	+2	21
6	Roma	13	6	2	5	+4	20
7	Inter	13	6	1	6	-2	19
8	Fiorentina	13	5	1	7	-1	16
9	Chievo	12	5	1	6	-2	16
10	Sassuolo	13	4	2	7	-3	14
11	Udinese	13	3	3	7	-7	12
12	Bologna	13	2	5	6	-11	11
13	Torino	13	2	4	7	-7	10
14	Sampdoria	13	2	4	7	-8	10
15	Palermo	13	2	4	7	-12	10
16	Genoa	13	2	2	9	-18	8
17	Cagliari	14	2	2	10	-19	8
18	Empoli	13	1	4	8	-13	7
19	Pescara	13	1	2	10	-17	5
20	Crotone	13	0	2	11	-17	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.