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Serie A

Referee: Daniele Orsato

Crotone

S T T T T

1–2

Full-time

Cagliari

T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crotone Cagliari

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,3

This season — Serie A · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 22%

12%

32%

Points per game

0,5

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

48%

64%

Both score Ø 58%

52%

64%

Average goals

2,5

3,4

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,9

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%

18 Shots 8

1 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 3

6 Corners 1

4 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Crotone 19. · Cagliari 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	26	22	0	4	+38	66
2	Roma	25	18	2	5	+32	56
3	Napoli	26	16	6	4	+31	54
4	Atalanta	26	16	3	7	+16	51
5	Inter	25	15	3	7	+16	48
6	Lazio	25	14	5	6	+15	47
7	Milan	25	13	5	7	+7	44
8	Fiorentina	25	11	7	7	+7	40
9	Torino	25	9	8	8	+6	35
10	Sampdoria	26	9	8	9	-1	35
11	Chievo	25	9	5	11	-8	32
12	Sassuolo	25	9	3	13	-6	30
13	Udinese	25	8	5	12	-6	29
14	Cagliari	25	8	4	13	-18	28
15	Bologna	25	7	6	12	-15	27
16	Genoa	25	6	7	12	-13	25
17	Empoli	26	5	7	14	-22	22
18	Palermo	26	3	6	17	-28	15
19	Crotone	25	3	4	18	-23	13
20	Pescara	25	2	6	17	-28	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	14	14	0	0	+29	42
2	Roma	12	12	0	0	+28	36
3	Napoli	14	9	3	2	+14	30
4	Inter	12	9	2	1	+18	29
5	Atalanta	12	9	0	3	+8	27
6	Lazio	13	8	2	3	+11	26
7	Milan	13	8	2	3	+6	26
8	Torino	12	7	4	1	+13	25
9	Sampdoria	13	7	4	2	+7	25
10	Fiorentina	12	6	6	0	+8	24
11	Cagliari	12	7	2	3	+2	23
12	Genoa	12	4	5	3	+5	17
13	Udinese	13	5	2	6	+0	17
14	Bologna	13	5	2	6	-4	17
15	Sassuolo	12	5	1	6	-3	16
16	Chievo	13	4	4	5	-6	16
17	Empoli	13	4	3	6	-9	15
18	Crotone	12	3	2	7	-6	11
19	Pescara	13	1	4	8	-13	7
20	Palermo	13	1	2	10	-16	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	12	7	3	2	+17	24
2	Juventus	12	8	0	4	+9	24
3	Atalanta	14	7	3	4	+8	24
4	Lazio	12	6	3	3	+4	21
5	Roma	13	6	2	5	+4	20
6	Inter	13	6	1	6	-2	19
7	Milan	12	5	3	4	+1	18
8	Fiorentina	13	5	1	7	-1	16
9	Chievo	12	5	1	6	-2	16
10	Sassuolo	13	4	2	7	-3	14
11	Udinese	12	3	3	6	-6	12
12	Torino	13	2	4	7	-7	10
13	Sampdoria	13	2	4	7	-8	10
14	Bologna	12	2	4	6	-11	10
15	Palermo	13	2	4	7	-12	10
16	Genoa	13	2	2	9	-18	8
17	Empoli	13	1	4	8	-13	7
18	Pescara	12	1	2	9	-15	5
19	Cagliari	13	1	2	10	-20	5
20	Crotone	13	0	2	11	-17	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.