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Serie A

Referee: Carmine Russo

Crotone

T U S T T

0–2

Full-time

Roma

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crotone Roma

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

0,7

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,3

This season — Serie A · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 42%

13%

70%

Points per game

0,6

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

52%

65%

Both score Ø 53%

57%

48%

Average goals

2,6

3,0

Scored

0,9

2,1

Conceded

1,7

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,9

+1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

35% Possession 65%

14 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 7

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 5

6 Offside 4

15 Free kicks against 14

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Crotone 19. · Roma 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	23	19	0	4	+31	57
2	Napoli	24	15	6	3	+31	51
3	Roma	23	16	2	5	+27	50
4	Lazio	23	13	4	6	+14	43
5	Inter	23	13	3	7	+13	42
6	Atalanta	23	13	3	7	+11	42
7	Fiorentina	24	11	7	6	+8	40
8	Milan	23	12	4	7	+6	40
9	Torino	23	8	8	7	+7	32
10	Sampdoria	23	8	6	9	-3	30
11	Udinese	24	8	5	11	-5	29
12	Chievo	23	8	5	10	-8	29
13	Sassuolo	23	8	3	12	-5	27
14	Bologna	23	7	6	10	-12	27
15	Cagliari	23	8	3	12	-16	27
16	Genoa	24	6	7	11	-8	25
17	Empoli	23	5	7	11	-17	22
18	Palermo	23	3	5	15	-23	14
19	Crotone	23	3	4	16	-20	13
20	Pescara	23	1	6	16	-31	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	12	12	0	0	+24	36
2	Roma	11	11	0	0	+25	33
3	Napoli	13	9	3	1	+16	30
4	Inter	11	8	2	1	+16	26
5	Lazio	12	8	1	3	+11	25
6	Fiorentina	12	6	6	0	+8	24
7	Atalanta	11	8	0	3	+7	24
8	Milan	12	7	2	3	+5	23
9	Cagliari	11	7	2	2	+4	23
10	Torino	11	6	4	1	+11	22
11	Sampdoria	11	6	3	2	+5	21
12	Genoa	12	4	5	3	+5	17
13	Udinese	12	5	2	5	+1	17
14	Bologna	12	5	2	5	-3	17
15	Sassuolo	11	5	1	5	-1	16
16	Chievo	12	4	4	4	-4	16
17	Empoli	12	4	3	5	-8	15
18	Crotone	11	3	2	6	-4	11
19	Palermo	11	1	1	9	-14	4
20	Pescara	12	0	4	8	-18	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	11	6	3	2	+15	21
2	Juventus	11	7	0	4	+7	21
3	Atalanta	12	5	3	4	+4	18
4	Lazio	11	5	3	3	+3	18
5	Roma	12	5	2	5	+2	17
6	Milan	11	5	2	4	+1	17
7	Fiorentina	12	5	1	6	+0	16
8	Inter	12	5	1	6	-3	16
9	Chievo	11	4	1	6	-4	13
10	Udinese	12	3	3	6	-6	12
11	Sassuolo	12	3	2	7	-4	11
12	Torino	12	2	4	6	-4	10
13	Palermo	12	2	4	6	-9	10
14	Bologna	11	2	4	5	-9	10
15	Sampdoria	12	2	3	7	-8	9
16	Genoa	12	2	2	8	-13	8
17	Empoli	11	1	4	6	-9	7
18	Pescara	11	1	2	8	-13	5
19	Cagliari	12	1	1	10	-20	4
20	Crotone	12	0	2	10	-16	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.