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Pro League

Referee: Frederik Geldhof

Gent

T T U T U

3–1

Full-time

Royal Excel Mouscron

T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Royal Excel Mouscron

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,5

2,3

Scored

0,3

1,2

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,0

This season — Pro League · 17/27 matches

Win Ø 33%

47%

19%

Points per game

1,6

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

35%

63%

Both score Ø 44%

35%

52%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,4

0,9

Conceded

0,9

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

67% Possession 33%

15 Shots 5

6 Shots on target 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 2

3 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Gent 13. · Royal Excel Mouscron 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mechelen	28	13	6	9	+7	45
2	Waregem	18	13	3	2	+19	42
3	Genk	28	12	6	10	+0	42
4	Club Brugge	18	13	2	3	+27	41
5	Standard	28	10	11	7	+10	41
6	Anderlecht	18	12	4	2	+28	40
7	Oostende	18	12	2	4	+20	38
8	Charleroi	18	9	6	3	+6	33
9	Beveren	28	7	9	12	-11	30
10	Kortrijk	28	8	6	14	-15	30
11	Eupen	28	8	6	14	-21	30
12	Lokeren	28	7	8	13	-10	29
13	Gent	17	8	4	5	+7	28
14	St Truiden	28	7	5	16	-14	26
15	Westerlo	28	5	7	16	-28	22
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	27	5	3	19	-25	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	14	9	3	2	+10	30
2	Mechelen	14	9	1	4	+10	28
3	Standard	14	7	4	3	+11	25
4	Club Brugge	9	7	2	0	+17	23
5	Waregem	9	7	2	0	+12	23
6	Anderlecht	9	7	1	1	+21	22
7	Charleroi	9	7	1	1	+6	22
8	St Truiden	14	6	4	4	+4	22
9	Gent	8	7	0	1	+12	21
10	Oostende	9	6	2	1	+15	20
11	Lokeren	14	5	5	4	+1	20
12	Beveren	14	4	6	4	+1	18
13	Kortrijk	14	5	3	6	+0	18
14	Eupen	14	4	5	5	-6	17
15	Westerlo	14	3	3	8	-9	12
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	14	3	2	9	-12	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	9	6	1	2	+7	19
2	Club Brugge	9	6	0	3	+10	18
3	Anderlecht	9	5	3	1	+7	18
4	Oostende	9	6	0	3	+5	18
5	Mechelen	14	4	5	5	-3	17
6	Standard	14	3	7	4	-1	16
7	Eupen	14	4	1	9	-15	13
8	Genk	14	3	3	8	-10	12
9	Beveren	14	3	3	8	-12	12
10	Kortrijk	14	3	3	8	-15	12
11	Charleroi	9	2	5	2	+0	11
12	Westerlo	14	2	4	8	-19	10
13	Lokeren	14	2	3	9	-11	9
14	Gent	9	1	4	4	-5	7
15	Royal Excel Mouscron	13	2	1	10	-13	7
16	St Truiden	14	1	1	12	-18	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.