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Serie A
Referee: Massimiliano Irrati
Torino
S U S U U
0–5
Full-time
Napoli
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Napoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,8
2,2
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,5
This season — Serie A · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 50%
34%
66%
Points per game
1,4
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
66%
69%
Both score Ø 72%
80%
63%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
1,9
2,3
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

41% Possession 59%
10 Shots 15
1 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 7
2 Offside 5
12 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Torino 9. · Napoli 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 35 27 4 4 +48 85
2 Roma 35 25 3 7 +47 78
3 Napoli 35 23 8 4 +45 77
4 Lazio 36 21 7 8 +27 70
5 Atalanta 36 19 9 8 +19 66
6 Milan 36 17 9 10 +10 60
7 Fiorentina 36 16 11 9 +9 59
8 Inter 36 17 5 14 +18 56
9 Torino 35 12 14 9 +9 50
10 Sampdoria 35 12 10 13 -4 46
11 Udinese 35 12 8 15 -5 44
12 Sassuolo 36 12 7 17 -7 43
13 Chievo 35 12 6 17 -15 42
14 Cagliari 35 12 5 18 -19 41
15 Bologna 35 10 8 17 -16 38
16 Genoa 35 8 9 18 -25 33
17 Empoli 35 8 8 19 -29 32
18 Crotone 35 7 7 21 -24 28
19 Palermo 35 4 8 23 -44 20
20 Pescara 35 2 8 25 -44 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Torino Napoli
7′
José Callejón 0–1
Allan
Daniele Baselli 🟨
8′
Half-time 0–1
Samuel Gustafson 🔁
↦ M. Benassi
52′
Samuel Gustafson 🟨
53′
56′
🟨 Raúl Albiol
J. Iturbe 🔁
↦ L. Boyé
59′
60′
L. Insigne 0–2
D. Mertens
64′
🔁 P. Zieliński
↦ Allan
66′
🔁 M. Rog
↦ M. Hamšík
72′
D. Mertens 0–3
L. Insigne
J. Obi 🔁
↦ D. Baselli
75′
76′
José Callejón 0–4
D. Mertens
78′
P. Zieliński 0–5
José Callejón
82′
🔁 A. Milik
↦ José Callejón
Full-time 0–5

Line-ups

Torino

4-2-3-1
21 J. Hart G
3 C. Molinaro D
5 Carlão D
13 L. Rossettini D
7 D. Zappacosta M
8 D. Baselli M
15 M. Benassi M
10 A. Ljajić M
14 Iago Falqué F
9 A. Belotti F
31 L. Boyé F
Bench (12)
16 Samuel Gustafson
19 J. Iturbe
22 J. Obi
1 D. Padelli
4 Leandro Castán
11 M. López
18 M. Valdifiori
23 A. Barreca
25 S. Lukić
26 Danilo Avelar
29 L. De Silvestri
90 T. Cucchietti

Coach: S. Mihajlović

Napoli

4-3-3
25 Pepe Reina G
33 Albiol D
26 K. Koulibaly D
2 E. Hysaj D
31 F. Ghoulam D
17 M. Hamšík M
5 Allan M
8 Jorginho M
14 D. Mertens F
7 José Callejón F
24 L. Insigne F
Bench (12)
20 P. Zieliński
30 M. Rog
99 A. Milik
1 Rafael
3 I. Strinić
4 E. Giaccherini
11 C. Maggio
21 V. Chiricheș
22 L. Sepe
32 L. Pavoletti
42 A. Diawara
62 L. Tonelli

Coach: M. Sarri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Massimiliano Irrati · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.