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Serie A

Referee: Luca Banti

Roma

S U S T S

3–1

Full-time

Juventus

S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Juventus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,7

Scored

2,5

2,0

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+1,3

This season — Serie A · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 74%

71%

77%

Points per game

2,2

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

69%

54%

Both score Ø 52%

54%

49%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

2,3

2,0

Conceded

0,9

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

45% Possession 55%

14 Shots 16

7 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 6

1 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 6

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Roma 3. · Juventus 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	35	27	4	4	+48	85
2	Napoli	36	24	8	4	+50	80
3	Roma	35	25	3	7	+47	78
4	Lazio	36	21	7	8	+27	70
5	Atalanta	36	19	9	8	+19	66
6	Milan	36	17	9	10	+10	60
7	Fiorentina	36	16	11	9	+9	59
8	Inter	36	17	5	14	+18	56
9	Torino	36	12	14	10	+4	50
10	Sampdoria	36	12	11	13	-4	47
11	Udinese	36	12	8	16	-6	44
12	Cagliari	36	13	5	18	-18	44
13	Sassuolo	36	12	7	17	-7	43
14	Chievo	36	12	7	17	-15	43
15	Bologna	36	11	8	17	-14	41
16	Genoa	36	8	9	19	-26	33
17	Empoli	36	8	8	20	-30	32
18	Crotone	36	8	7	21	-23	31
19	Palermo	36	5	8	23	-43	23
20	Pescara	36	2	8	26	-46	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	18	17	1	0	+36	52
2	Roma	17	14	1	2	+29	43
3	Napoli	18	12	4	2	+22	40
4	Lazio	18	12	2	4	+19	38
5	Atalanta	18	11	4	3	+12	37
6	Fiorentina	18	10	7	1	+11	37
7	Milan	18	11	2	5	+9	35
8	Inter	18	10	3	5	+19	33
9	Cagliari	18	10	3	5	+3	33
10	Torino	18	8	8	2	+10	32
11	Sampdoria	18	8	6	4	+7	30
12	Udinese	18	8	4	6	+7	28
13	Bologna	18	8	2	8	+0	26
14	Chievo	18	6	5	7	-3	23
15	Genoa	18	5	7	6	-1	22
16	Sassuolo	18	6	3	9	-5	21
17	Crotone	18	5	4	9	-6	19
18	Empoli	18	5	4	9	-12	19
19	Palermo	18	3	3	12	-18	12
20	Pescara	18	1	5	12	-21	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	18	12	4	2	+28	40
2	Roma	18	11	2	5	+18	35
3	Juventus	17	10	3	4	+12	33
4	Lazio	18	9	5	4	+8	32
5	Atalanta	18	8	5	5	+7	29
6	Milan	18	6	7	5	+1	25
7	Inter	18	7	2	9	-1	23
8	Fiorentina	18	6	4	8	-2	22
9	Sassuolo	18	6	4	8	-2	22
10	Chievo	18	6	2	10	-12	20
11	Torino	18	4	6	8	-6	18
12	Sampdoria	18	4	5	9	-11	17
13	Udinese	18	4	4	10	-13	16
14	Bologna	18	3	6	9	-14	15
15	Empoli	18	3	4	11	-18	13
16	Crotone	18	3	3	12	-17	12
17	Cagliari	18	3	2	13	-21	11
18	Palermo	18	2	5	11	-25	11
19	Genoa	18	3	2	13	-25	11
20	Pescara	18	1	3	14	-25	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.