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Eredivisie
Referee: Jochem Kamphuis
1–3
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Go Ahead Eagles Sparta Rotterdam
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
4,5
2,7
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
3,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-2,8
-1,3
This season — Eredivisie · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 21%
18%
24%
Points per game
0,7
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
64%
55%
Both score Ø 54%
52%
55%
Average goals
3,1
3,0
Scored
0,9
1,2
Conceded
2,1
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
13 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
24 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Go Ahead Eagles 18. · Sparta Rotterdam 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 33 25 4 4 +59 79
2 Ajax 33 24 6 3 +54 78
3 PSV Eindhoven 33 21 10 2 +42 73
4 Utrecht 30 16 7 7 +15 55
5 Vitesse 33 14 6 13 +8 48
6 AZ Alkmaar 30 11 12 7 +6 45
7 Twente 33 12 9 12 +0 45
8 Heracles 33 12 7 14 +0 43
9 Heerenveen 31 12 6 13 +4 42
10 Excelsior 33 9 10 14 -14 37
11 Groningen 31 8 12 11 +0 36
12 Willem II 33 9 9 15 -13 36
13 Zwolle 33 9 8 16 -25 35
14 Den Haag 33 10 5 18 -25 35
15 Roda 33 7 12 14 -22 33
16 Sparta Rotterdam 33 8 7 18 -21 31
17 Nijmegen 33 8 7 18 -29 31
18 Go Ahead Eagles 33 6 5 22 -39 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Go Ahead Eagles Sparta Rotterdam
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 C. Goodwin
↦ Jerson Cabral
57′
M. Pusic 0–1
C. Goodwin
Sander Duits 🟨
65′
G. Werkhoven 🔁
↦ S. Duits
66′
R. Achenteh 🔁
↦ J. Groenbast
66′
1–1 D. Maatsen
J. Antonia
71′
75′
🔁 B. Vriends
↦ M. Breuer
78′
🔁 K. Dougall
↦ D. Mendes da Silva
Joey Suk 🟨
79′
80′
M. Pusic 1–2
C. Goodwin
81′
🟨 Martin Pusic
P. Maneschijn 🔁
↦ S. Fischer
82′
Pedro Chirivella 🟨
85′
Xandro Schenk 🟨
88′
89′
C. Goodwin 1–3
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Go Ahead Eagles

4-3-3
1 T. Zwarthoed
3 S. Fischer D
17 S. Locigno D
4 X. Schenk D
32 J. Groenbast D
6 S. Duits M
8 J. Suk M
29 Chirivella M
77 J. Antonia F
14 D. Maatsen M
19 S. Hendriks F
Bench (6)
28 G. Werkhoven
35 R. Achenteh
22 P. Maneschijn
2 L. Lambooij
5 L. Rexhepi
23 N. Nieveld

Coach: R. Maaskant

Sparta Rotterdam

4-3-3
1 M. Verrips G
5 M. Breuer D
2 D. Dumfries D
3 S. Floranus D
6 R. van Drongelen D
8 D. Mendes da Silva M
11 Jerson Cabral F
4 R. Sanusi M
10 S. Spierings F
9 M. Pusic F
7 I. Alhalft F
Bench (11)
16 C. Goodwin
17 B. Vriends
14 K. Dougall
12 J. Saksela
20 R. Kieboom
21 T. Verhaar
15 R. Ketting
30 B. Janssen
18 P. van Moorsel
13 M. Dijkstra
19 R. Ache

Coach: A. Pastoor

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jochem Kamphuis · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.