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Serie A
Referee: Daniele Doveri
Cagliari
S T S T T
1–0
Full-time
Crotone
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Crotone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
4,3
2,0
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
2,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,3
This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
3,0
1,5
Scored
0,5
0,0
Conceded
2,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%
13 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cagliari 19. · Crotone 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 3 3 0 0 +8 9
2 Inter 3 3 0 0 +7 9
3 Napoli 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 Milan 2 2 0 0 +4 6
5 Sampdoria 2 2 0 0 +2 6
6 Torino 2 1 1 0 +3 4
7 Lazio 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Bologna 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Spal 3 1 1 1 -1 4
10 Roma 2 1 0 1 -1 3
11 Chievo 3 1 0 2 -3 3
12 Genoa 2 0 1 1 -2 1
13 Verona 2 0 1 1 -2 1
14 Sassuolo 2 0 1 1 -3 1
15 Crotone 2 0 1 1 -3 1
16 Udinese 2 0 0 2 -2 0
17 Benevento 2 0 0 2 -2 0
18 Atalanta 2 0 0 2 -3 0
19 Cagliari 2 0 0 2 -4 0
20 Fiorentina 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cagliari Crotone
1–0 M. Sau
João Pedro
33′
Luca Cigarini 🟨
43′
Simone Padoin 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
53′
🟨 Federico Ceccherini
A. Ioniţă 🔁
↦ D. Dessena
58′
59′
🔁 M. Tumminello
↦ M. Trotta
65′
🔁 O. Kragl
↦ M. Rohdén
P. Faragò 🔁
↦ João Pedro
71′
Diego Farias 🔁
↦ M. Sau
76′
77′
🔁 G. Crociata
↦ A. Stoian
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Cagliari

4-3-1-2
28 A. Cragno G
3 M. Andreolli D
19 F. Pisacane D
24 M. Capuano D
4 D. Dessena M
8 L. Cigarini M
20 S. Padoin M
10 João Pedro M
18 N. Barella M
25 M. Sau F
30 L. Pavoletti F
Bench (11)
21 A. Ioniţă
16 P. Faragò
17 Diego Farias
7 A. Cossu
9 N. Giannetti
12 S. Miangue
13 F. Romagna
23 L. Ceppitelli
26 L. Crosta
27 A. Deiola
29 R. Daga

Coach: M. Rastelli

Crotone

4-4-2
1 A. Cordaz G
44 L. Cabrera D
87 B. Martella D
7 F. Ceccherini D
31 M. Sampirisi D
5 A. Stoian M
10 A. Barberis M
6 M. Rohdén M
38 R. Mandragora M
17 A. Budimir F
29 M. Trotta F
Bench (10)
32 M. Tumminello
11 O. Kragl
89 G. Crociata
3 M. Festa
14 C. Suljic
20 D. Pavlovic
34 S. Simič
37 D. Faraoni
78 A. Viscovo
99 S. Nwankwo

Coach: D. Nicola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Daniele Doveri · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.