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Serie A
Referee: Luigi Nasca
Sassuolo
S U S U S
6–2
Full-time
Cagliari
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Cagliari
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,7
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
This season — Serie A · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 35%
33%
36%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
64%
67%
Both score Ø 64%
64%
64%
Average goals
2,9
3,3
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
1,6
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–1

57% Possession 43%
13 Shots 14
8 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 10
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 22
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sassuolo 13. · Cagliari 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 36 27 4 5 +46 85
2 Roma 37 27 3 7 +51 84
3 Napoli 37 25 8 4 +53 83
4 Lazio 36 21 7 8 +27 70
5 Atalanta 36 19 9 8 +19 66
6 Milan 36 17 9 10 +10 60
7 Fiorentina 37 16 11 10 +6 59
8 Inter 36 17 5 14 +18 56
9 Torino 36 12 14 10 +4 50
10 Sampdoria 36 12 11 13 -4 47
11 Udinese 36 12 8 16 -6 44
12 Cagliari 36 13 5 18 -18 44
13 Sassuolo 36 12 7 17 -7 43
14 Chievo 37 12 7 18 -17 43
15 Bologna 36 11 8 17 -14 41
16 Genoa 36 8 9 19 -26 33
17 Empoli 36 8 8 20 -30 32
18 Crotone 36 8 7 21 -23 31
19 Palermo 36 5 8 23 -43 23
20 Pescara 36 2 8 26 -46 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Dec -16 Cagliari – Sassuolo 4–3

Match report

Sassuolo Cagliari
1–0 F. Magnanelli
D. Berardi
7′
2–0 D. Berardi
12′
3–0 M. Politano
D. Berardi
13′
25′
M. Sau 3–1
M. Isla
31′
🟨 Fabio Pisacane
4–1 S. Sensi
34′
Federico Peluso 🟨
36′
Half-time 4–1
46′
🔁 A. Ioniţă
↦ S. Padoin
54′
🟨 Bruno Alves
55′
🟨 Marco Borriello
5–1 P. Iemmello
56′
60′
A. Ioniţă 5–2
P. Tachtsidis
61′
🔁 P. Faragò
↦ M. Borriello
A. Matri 🔁
↦ P. Iemmello
66′
72′
🟨 Mauricio Isla
74′
🔁 Kwang-Song Han
↦ João Pedro
D. Biondini 🔁
↦ A. Aquilani
75′
A. Ragusa 🔁
↦ M. Politano
84′
85′
🟨 Marco Sau
6–2 A. Matri
Pol Lirola
90′
Full-time 6–2

Line-ups

Sassuolo

4-3-3
47 A. Consigli G
13 F. Peluso D
15 F. Acerbi D
5 L. Antei D
20 Pol Lirola D
21 A. Aquilani M
4 F. Magnanelli M
12 S. Sensi M
9 P. Iemmello F
16 M. Politano F
25 D. Berardi F
Bench (12)
10 A. Matri
8 D. Biondini
90 A. Ragusa
1 A. Pomini
6 L. Pellegrini
7 S. Missiroli
11 G. Defrel
22 L. Mazzitelli
23 M. Gazzola
28 P. Cannavaro
55 T. Letschert
79 G. Pegolo

Coach: E. Di Francesco

Cagliari

4-2-3-1
1 Rafael G
2 Bruno Alves D
19 F. Pisacane D
29 N. Murru D
20 S. Padoin M
3 M. Isla D
77 P. Tachtsidis M
10 João Pedro M
22 M. Borriello F
25 M. Sau F
17 Diego Farias F
Bench (11)
21 A. Ioniţă
16 P. Faragò
32 Kwang-Song Han
8 D. Di Gennaro
12 S. Miangue
15 Vasco Oliveira
26 L. Crosta
30 A. Deiola
33 R. Biancu
35 B. Salamon
43 M. Bizzi

Coach: M. Rastelli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.