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Serie A

Referee: Marco Piccinini

Atalanta

S T T S U

5–1

Full-time

Crotone

S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Crotone

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,0

2,2

Scored

1,0

0,5

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,2

This season — Serie A · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 13%

25%

Points per game

1,0

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

50%

25%

Both score Ø 38%

75%

Average goals

2,5

1,5

Scored

1,0

0,0

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

61% Possession 39%

14 Shots 8

11 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

4 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

5 Free kicks against 19

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Atalanta 12. · Crotone 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	5	4	1	0	+9	13
2	Napoli	4	4	0	0	+13	12
3	Juventus	4	4	0	0	+10	12
4	Lazio	4	3	1	0	+5	10
5	Roma	4	3	0	1	+6	9
6	Milan	4	3	0	1	+2	9
7	Torino	4	2	2	0	+4	8
8	Sampdoria	3	2	1	0	+2	7
9	Fiorentina	4	2	0	2	+2	6
10	Cagliari	4	2	0	2	-1	6
11	Bologna	5	1	2	2	-3	5
12	Atalanta	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Chievo	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Spal	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Udinese	4	1	0	3	-2	3
16	Genoa	4	0	1	3	-4	1
17	Sassuolo	4	0	1	3	-6	1
18	Crotone	4	0	1	3	-6	1
19	Verona	4	0	1	3	-10	1
20	Benevento	5	0	0	5	-13	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Inter	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Milan	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Torino	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Lazio	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Roma	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Sampdoria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Udinese	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Spal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Bologna	3	0	2	1	-3	2
15	Chievo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Sassuolo	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Crotone	3	0	1	2	-5	1
18	Genoa	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Benevento	3	0	0	3	-6	0
20	Verona	2	0	0	2	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Roma	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Lazio	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Sampdoria	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Torino	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Milan	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Bologna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Cagliari	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Chievo	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Genoa	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Atalanta	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Spal	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Verona	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Udinese	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Sassuolo	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Benevento	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.