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Eredivisie
Referee: Christaan Bax
Roda
T U T T T
2–1
Full-time
Heerenveen
T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roda Heerenveen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 13/12 matches
Win Ø 29%
15%
42%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
54%
75%
Both score Ø 56%
54%
58%
Average goals
2,9
3,1
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
2,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
-1,4
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%
6 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 4
3 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Roda 18. · Heerenveen 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 13 12 0 1 +26 36
2 AZ Alkmaar 14 10 1 3 +9 31
3 Ajax 14 9 2 3 +29 29
4 Zwolle 14 7 5 2 +7 26
5 Feyenoord 14 7 4 3 +10 25
6 Utrecht 12 6 2 4 -2 20
7 Vitesse 12 5 3 4 +7 18
8 Heerenveen 12 5 3 4 -1 18
9 Heracles 14 5 3 6 -5 18
10 Excelsior 13 5 2 6 -3 17
11 Den Haag 13 5 2 6 -4 17
12 Groningen 14 4 3 7 -2 15
13 VVV Venlo 14 3 6 5 -6 15
14 Willem II 14 4 2 8 -10 14
15 Sparta Rotterdam 13 2 5 6 -11 11
16 Twente 14 3 1 10 -9 10
17 NAC Breda 13 2 3 8 -17 9
18 Roda 13 2 1 10 -18 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Roda Heerenveen
Dani Schahin 🟨
32′
Half-time 0–1
60′
H. Veerman 0–1
M. Vlap
J. Vancamp 🔁
↦ W. Ndenge
68′
1–1 D. Schahin
A. Auassar
71′
78′
🔁 R. Ghoochannejhad
↦ N. Mihajlović
L. Milts 🔁
↦ M. Engels
79′
79′
🔁 M. Thorsby
↦ P. van Amersfoort
2–1 L. Milts
M. Rosheuvel
87′
88′
🔁 M. Rojas
↦ M. Vlap
O. Gnjatić 🔁
↦ Simon Gustafson
89′
Livio Milts 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Roda

4-2-3-1
1 H. Jurjus G
4 C. Kum D
2 H. Dijkhuizen D
17 J. Vansteenkiste D
8 A. Auassar D
6 M. El Makrini M
10 Simon Gustafson M
13 W. Ndenge M
9 D. Schahin F
7 M. Rosheuvel M
14 M. Engels M
Bench (9)
18 J. Vancamp
25 L. Milts
15 O. Gnjatić
20 D. Werker
3 F. Ananou
23 N. Rutjes
30 B. Derksen
5 A. van Peppen
16 F. Kurto

Coach: R. Molenaar

Heerenveen

4-2-3-1
1 W. Hahn G
3 D. Høegh D
12 D. Schmidt D
2 D. Dumfries D
5 K. Pierie D
6 S. Schaars M
21 Y. Kobayashi M
19 P. van Amersfoort M
18 M. Vlap M
17 N. Mihajlović F
20 H. Veerman F
Bench (9)
9 R. Ghoochannejhad
8 M. Thorsby
7 M. Rojas
35 J. Hornkamp
26 J. Bruijn
16 L. Woudenberg
4 N. Næss
23 W. van der Steen
25 J. Bekkema

Coach: J. Streppel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Christaan Bax · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.