Eredivisie
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Roda
Heerenveen
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | +26 | 36 |
| 2 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +9 | 31 |
| 3 |
Ajax
|
14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | +29 | 29 |
| 4 |
Zwolle
|
14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | +7 | 26 |
| 5 |
Feyenoord
|
14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | +10 | 25 |
| 6 |
Utrecht
|
12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 20 |
| 7 |
Vitesse
|
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +7 | 18 |
| 8 |
Heerenveen
|
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 18 |
| 9 |
Heracles
|
14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 18 |
| 10 |
Excelsior
|
13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -3 | 17 |
| 11 |
Den Haag
|
13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 17 |
| 12 |
Groningen
|
14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 15 |
| 13 |
VVV Venlo
|
14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -6 | 15 |
| 14 |
Willem II
|
14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -10 | 14 |
| 15 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -11 | 11 |
| 16 |
Twente
|
14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 10 |
| 17 |
NAC Breda
|
13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -17 | 9 |
| 18 |
Roda
|
13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | -18 | 7 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Simon Gustafson
M
Coach: R. Molenaar
W. Hahn
G
D. Høegh
D
D. Dumfries
D
Coach: J. Streppel
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Ajax
Roda
Roda
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
Roda
Roda
Feyenoord
Twente
Roda
Christaan Bax · 35 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.