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Eredivisie

Referee: Bernie Raymond Blom

NAC Breda

T U U T T

3–1

Full-time

Excelsior

U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

NAC Breda Excelsior

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

0,5

1,5

Conceded

2,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 27%

15%

38%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

62%

Both score Ø 58%

54%

62%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

0,9

1,2

Conceded

2,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%

22 Shots 12

8 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 2

10 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match NAC Breda 18. · Excelsior 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	14	13	0	1	+27	39
2	AZ Alkmaar	14	10	1	3	+9	31
3	Ajax	14	9	2	3	+29	29
4	Zwolle	14	7	5	2	+7	26
5	Feyenoord	14	7	4	3	+10	25
6	Utrecht	12	6	2	4	-2	20
7	Vitesse	12	5	3	4	+7	18
8	Heerenveen	13	5	3	5	-2	18
9	Heracles	14	5	3	6	-5	18
10	Excelsior	13	5	2	6	-3	17
11	Den Haag	13	5	2	6	-4	17
12	Groningen	14	4	3	7	-2	15
13	VVV Venlo	14	3	6	5	-6	15
14	Willem II	14	4	2	8	-10	14
15	Sparta Rotterdam	14	2	5	7	-12	11
16	Twente	14	3	1	10	-9	10
17	Roda	14	3	1	10	-17	10
18	NAC Breda	13	2	3	8	-17	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	7	7	0	0	+13	21
2	Heracles	8	5	2	1	+5	17
3	Zwolle	7	5	1	1	+7	16
4	AZ Alkmaar	7	5	0	2	+3	15
5	Ajax	6	4	0	2	+11	12
6	Groningen	8	3	3	2	+1	12
7	Feyenoord	7	3	2	2	+2	11
8	Twente	7	3	1	3	+1	10
9	Utrecht	5	3	1	1	+0	10
10	Sparta Rotterdam	7	2	2	3	-3	8
11	Den Haag	8	2	2	4	-4	8
12	Willem II	7	2	1	4	-1	7
13	Roda	6	2	1	3	-3	7
14	VVV Venlo	8	1	3	4	-6	6
15	Vitesse	5	1	2	2	+0	5
16	Excelsior	7	1	1	5	-7	4
17	Heerenveen	6	1	1	4	-8	4
18	NAC Breda	6	1	1	4	-13	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	7	6	0	1	+14	18
2	Ajax	8	5	2	1	+18	17
3	AZ Alkmaar	7	5	1	1	+6	16
4	Feyenoord	7	4	2	1	+8	14
5	Heerenveen	7	4	2	1	+6	14
6	Vitesse	7	4	1	2	+7	13
7	Excelsior	6	4	1	1	+4	13
8	Zwolle	7	2	4	1	+0	10
9	Utrecht	7	3	1	3	-2	10
10	VVV Venlo	6	2	3	1	+0	9
11	Den Haag	5	3	0	2	+0	9
12	Willem II	7	2	1	4	-9	7
13	NAC Breda	7	1	2	4	-4	5
14	Groningen	6	1	0	5	-3	3
15	Sparta Rotterdam	7	0	3	4	-9	3
16	Roda	8	1	0	7	-14	3
17	Heracles	6	0	1	5	-10	1
18	Twente	7	0	0	7	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.