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La Liga
Referee: David Medie Jimenez
Getafe
U S U S T
1–0
Full-time
Valencia
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Getafe Valencia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,8
Scored
1,7
3,0
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+2,2
This season — La Liga · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 50%
31%
69%
Points per game
1,2
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
62%
62%
Both score Ø 62%
69%
54%
Average goals
2,6
3,5
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
1,2
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

32% Possession 68%
11 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 1
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 12
6 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 11
7 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Getafe 12. · Valencia 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 14 11 3 0 +29 36
2 Valencia 13 9 4 0 +21 31
3 Ath Madrid 14 8 6 0 +16 30
4 Real Madrid 14 8 4 2 +14 28
5 Sevilla 14 9 1 4 +5 28
6 Villarreal 14 6 3 5 +4 21
7 Leganes 14 6 2 6 -1 20
8 Sociedad 14 5 4 5 +2 19
9 Celta 14 5 3 6 +5 18
10 Betis 13 5 3 5 -4 18
11 Girona 13 4 5 4 -3 17
12 Getafe 13 4 4 5 +4 16
13 Espanol 13 4 4 5 -5 16
14 Levante 14 3 7 4 -6 16
15 Ath Bilbao 14 3 5 6 -4 14
16 Eibar 13 4 2 7 -13 14
17 La Coruna 14 3 3 8 -10 12
18 Malaga 14 2 2 10 -17 8
19 Las Palmas 13 2 1 10 -22 7
20 Alaves 13 2 0 11 -15 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Getafe Valencia
Francisco Molinero 🟨
13′
Mauro Arambarri 🟨
21′
23′
🟨 Geoffrey Kondogbia
Mauro Arambarri 🟨
25′
Mauro Arambarri 🟥
25′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Nacho Gil
↦ G. Kondogbia
Djené 🟨
52′
63′
🔁 Santi Mina
↦ Andreas Pereira
1–0 Bergara
66′
69′
🟨 Dani Parejo
Amath Ndiaye 🟨
71′
F. Fajr 🔁
↦ A. Ndiaye
72′
Ángel Rodríguez 🟨
73′
M. Olivera 🔁
↦ Ángel
79′
83′
🟨 Martín Montoya
Jorge Molina 🟨
88′
Damián Suárez 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Santi Mina
M. Lacen 🔁
↦ Jorge Molina
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Getafe

4-4-2
13 Guaita G
15 Molinero
22 D. Suárez D
4 Bruno González D
2 D. Dakonam D
5 Bergara M
12 Portillo M
18 M. Arambarri M
9 Ángel
19 Jorge Molina F
23 A. Ndiaye M
Bench (7)
21 F. Fajr
17 M. Olivera
8 M. Lacen
1 E. Martínez
6 N. Gorosito
7 Álvaro Jiménez
20 Dani Pacheco

Coach: José Bordalás

Valencia

4-4-2
13 Neto G
5 Gabriel Paulista D
21 Martín Montoya D
14 José Gayá D
3 Rúben Vezo D
10 Dani Parejo M
16 G. Kondogbia M
11 Andreas Pereira M
18 Carlos Soler M
9 S. Zaza F
19 Rodrigo F
Bench (7)
31 Nacho Gil
22 Santi Mina
1 Jaume Doménech
6 N. Maksimović
20 Robert Ibáñez
26 Toni Lato
30 Nacho Vidal

Coach: Marcelino

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

David Medie Jimenez · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.