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Pro League
Referee: Nicolas Laforge
Waregem
T S T T T
0–1
Full-time
Gent
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
4,0
2,5
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
2,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,5
This season — Pro League · 16/11 matches
Win Ø 42%
38%
45%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
75%
45%
Both score Ø 51%
56%
45%
Average goals
3,6
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,9
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

6 Corners 4
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Waregem 9. · Gent 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 12 10 1 1 +18 31
2 Anderlecht 12 9 2 1 +12 29
3 St Truiden 17 7 5 5 -2 26
4 Charleroi 12 7 4 1 +9 25
5 Antwerp 17 6 7 4 +2 25
6 Beveren 17 6 3 8 +1 21
7 Royal Excel Mouscron 17 5 5 7 -6 20
8 Oostende 17 5 4 8 -1 19
9 Waregem 16 6 1 9 -2 19
10 Gent 11 5 2 4 +8 17
11 Standard 11 4 5 2 +2 17
12 Lokeren 17 4 5 8 -8 17
13 Kortrijk 17 4 5 8 -9 17
14 Genk 11 3 6 2 +2 15
15 Mechelen 17 3 6 8 -8 15
16 Eupen 17 2 5 10 -18 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waregem Gent
Sandy Walsh 🟨
16′
28′
🟨 Nana Asare
29′
M. Simon 0–1
M. Sylla
Onur Kaya 🟨
39′
44′
🟨 Brecht Dejaegere
Half-time 0–1
A. Cordaro 🔁
↦ S. Walsh
46′
Michael Heylen 🟨
47′
57′
🟨 Anderson Esiti
64′
🟨 Stefan Mitrović
66′
🔁 T. Foket
↦ S. Kalu
Julien De Sart 🟨
73′
75′
🔁 D. Miličević
↦ Y. Kubo
N. De Pauw 🔁
↦ I. Šaponjić
76′
I. Doumbia 🔁
↦ J. De Sart
76′
82′
🔁 R. Yaremchuk
↦ M. Sylla
90′
🟨 Anderson Esiti
90′
🟥 Anderson Esiti
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Waregem

1 S. Bossut
2 D. De fauw D
31 B. Hamalainen D
14 S. Walsh D
3 M. Baudry D
4 M. Heylen D
10 O. Kaya M
23 J. De Sart M
43 S. Coopman M
7 A. Leya F
33 I. Šaponjić F
Bench (7)
29 A. Cordaro
11 N. De Pauw
20 I. Doumbia
5 Y. Severin
15 K. Madu
25 L. Bostyn
30 G. Kastanos

Coach: F. Dury

Gent

91 L. Kalinić G
21 N. Asare D
13 S. Mitrović D
2 S. Gigot D
22 D. Bronn D
19 B. Dejaegere F
44 A. Esiti M
31 Y. Kubo F
9 M. Sylla F
27 M. Simon F
18 S. Kalu F
Bench (10)
32 T. Foket
77 D. Miličević
17 R. Yaremchuk
5 N. Dussenne
6 B. Verstraete
11 D. Machado
15 K. Saief
20 Y. Thoelen
35 Y. Czekanowicz
38 S. Horemans

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Nicolas Laforge · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.