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Serie A
Referee: Claudio Gavillucci
Sassuolo
S S S T T
2–0
Full-time
Genoa
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Genoa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
This season — Serie A · 3/2 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,7
4,0
Scored
0,7
3,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+2,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
12 Shots 17
6 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 8
1 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 17
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sassuolo 17. · Genoa 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 4 3 1 0 +7 10
2 Juventus 3 3 0 0 +4 9
3 Roma 3 2 1 0 +5 7
4 Lazio 4 2 1 1 +3 7
5 Chievo 4 2 1 1 +2 7
6 Genoa 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 Sampdoria 4 2 0 2 +0 6
8 Milan 4 2 0 2 -1 6
9 Udinese 4 2 0 2 -2 6
10 Bologna 4 2 0 2 -4 6
11 Pescara 4 1 1 2 -1 4
12 Inter 3 1 1 1 -1 4
13 Torino 3 1 0 2 +2 3
14 Fiorentina 2 1 0 1 +0 3
15 Atalanta 3 1 0 2 -1 3
16 Empoli 3 1 0 2 -2 3
17 Sassuolo 3 1 0 2 -4 3
18 Cagliari 3 0 1 2 -3 1
19 Palermo 3 0 1 2 -4 1
20 Crotone 3 0 0 3 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sassuolo Genoa
Half-time 0–0
F. Ricci 🔁
↦ A. Ragusa
46′
58′
🟨 Leonardo Pavoletti
1–0 M. Politano
58′
59′
🔁 G. Pandev
↦ L. Rigoni
D. Biondini 🔁
↦ L. Pellegrini
64′
2–0 G. Defrel
F. Peluso
66′
71′
🔁 G. Simeone
↦ D. Lazović
74′
🔁 L. Ocampos
↦ S. Gakpé
76′
🟨 Lucas Orbán
A. Matri 🔁
↦ G. Defrel
81′
86′
🟨 Miguel Veloso
86′
🟨 Miguel Veloso
86′
🟥 Miguel Veloso
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Sassuolo

4-3-3
47 A. Consigli G
13 F. Peluso D
15 F. Acerbi D
5 L. Antei D
20 Pol Lirola D
4 F. Magnanelli M
32 A. Duncan M
6 L. Pellegrini M
90 A. Ragusa F
11 G. Defrel F
16 M. Politano F
Bench (12)
27 F. Ricci
8 D. Biondini
10 A. Matri
1 A. Pomini
9 P. Iemmello
22 L. Mazzitelli
26 E. Terranova
28 P. Cannavaro
39 C. Dell'Orco
55 T. Letschert
79 G. Pegolo
98 C. Adjapong

Coach: E. Di Francesco

Genoa

3-4-3
1 M. Perin G
8 N. Burdisso D
21 L. Orbán D
5 A. Izzo D
44 Miguel Veloso M
30 L. Rigoni M
22 D. Lazović M
88 T. Rincón M
93 D. Laxalt M
13 S. Gakpé M
19 L. Pavoletti F
Bench (12)
27 G. Pandev
9 G. Simeone
11 L. Ocampos
14 D. Biraschi
2 Edenilson
3 S. Gentiletti
4 I. Cofie
10 O. Ntcham
23 E. Lamanna
24 E. Muñoz
29 R. Fiamozzi
38 L. Zima

Coach: I. Juric

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Claudio Gavillucci · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.