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Serie A

Referee: Paolo Silvio Mazzoleni

Napoli

S S S S S

3–1

Full-time

Bologna

T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Napoli Bologna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

33%

100%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,2

3,3

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

0,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,7

This season — Serie A · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 60%

81%

38%

Points per game

2,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

57%

62%

Both score Ø 48%

43%

52%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

2,1

1,2

Conceded

0,6

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

62% Possession 38%

9 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Napoli 2. · Bologna 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	22	18	2	2	+37	56
2	Napoli	21	17	3	1	+32	54
3	Lazio	21	14	4	3	+31	46
4	Inter	22	12	8	2	+20	44
5	Roma	21	12	5	4	+16	41
6	Sampdoria	21	10	4	7	+9	34
7	Atalanta	22	9	6	7	+7	33
8	Milan	21	9	4	8	-1	31
9	Udinese	21	9	2	10	+3	29
10	Torino	21	6	11	4	+1	29
11	Fiorentina	21	7	7	7	+6	28
12	Bologna	21	8	3	10	-4	27
13	Chievo	22	5	7	10	-18	22
14	Sassuolo	22	6	4	12	-20	22
15	Genoa	21	5	6	10	-7	21
16	Cagliari	21	6	2	13	-14	20
17	Crotone	21	5	3	13	-22	18
18	Spal	22	3	8	11	-17	17
19	Verona	21	3	4	14	-26	13
20	Benevento	21	2	1	18	-33	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	11	9	1	1	+19	28
2	Sampdoria	11	8	1	2	+16	25
3	Inter	11	7	3	1	+13	24
4	Napoli	10	7	2	1	+16	23
5	Roma	11	7	1	3	+7	22
6	Lazio	10	6	2	2	+17	20
7	Atalanta	11	5	3	3	+7	18
8	Milan	10	5	2	3	+0	17
9	Fiorentina	10	4	4	2	+5	16
10	Udinese	11	5	1	5	+4	16
11	Torino	10	3	5	2	+4	14
12	Chievo	11	3	4	4	-4	13
13	Bologna	11	3	3	5	-2	12
14	Spal	11	2	5	4	-5	11
15	Crotone	10	3	2	5	-6	11
16	Cagliari	11	3	1	7	-6	10
17	Sassuolo	11	2	3	6	-9	9
18	Genoa	10	2	2	6	-6	8
19	Benevento	11	2	1	8	-14	7
20	Verona	11	2	1	8	-14	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	11	10	1	0	+16	31
2	Juventus	11	9	1	1	+18	28
3	Lazio	11	8	2	1	+14	26
4	Inter	11	5	5	1	+7	20
5	Roma	10	5	4	1	+9	19
6	Atalanta	11	4	3	4	+0	15
7	Bologna	10	5	0	5	-2	15
8	Torino	11	3	6	2	-3	15
9	Milan	11	4	2	5	-1	14
10	Udinese	10	4	1	5	-1	13
11	Genoa	11	3	4	4	-1	13
12	Sassuolo	11	4	1	6	-11	13
13	Fiorentina	11	3	3	5	+1	12
14	Cagliari	10	3	1	6	-8	10
15	Sampdoria	10	2	3	5	-7	9
16	Chievo	11	2	3	6	-14	9
17	Crotone	11	2	1	8	-16	7
18	Verona	10	1	3	6	-12	6
19	Spal	11	1	3	7	-12	6
20	Benevento	10	0	0	10	-19	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.