Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Crotone
Cagliari
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Juventus
|
22 | 18 | 2 | 2 | +37 | 56 |
| 2 |
Napoli
|
21 | 17 | 3 | 1 | +32 | 54 |
| 3 |
Lazio
|
21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | +31 | 46 |
| 4 |
Inter
|
22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | +20 | 44 |
| 5 |
Roma
|
21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | +16 | 41 |
| 6 |
Sampdoria
|
21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | +9 | 34 |
| 7 |
Atalanta
|
22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | +7 | 33 |
| 8 |
Milan
|
21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | -1 | 31 |
| 9 |
Udinese
|
21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | +3 | 29 |
| 10 |
Torino
|
21 | 6 | 11 | 4 | +1 | 29 |
| 11 |
Fiorentina
|
21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | +6 | 28 |
| 12 |
Bologna
|
21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | -4 | 27 |
| 13 |
Chievo
|
22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | -18 | 22 |
| 14 |
Sassuolo
|
22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | -20 | 22 |
| 15 |
Genoa
|
21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | -7 | 21 |
| 16 |
Cagliari
|
21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -14 | 20 |
| 17 |
Crotone
|
21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | -22 | 18 |
| 18 |
Spal
|
22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 |
Verona
|
21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | -26 | 13 |
| 20 |
Benevento
|
21 | 2 | 1 | 18 | -33 | 7 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
F. Ceccherini
D
R. Mandragora
M
Coach: W. Zenga
A. Ioniţă
M
Coach: D. López
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Verona
Crotone
Milan
Crotone
Crotone
Napoli
Lazio
Crotone
Crotone
Chievo
Paolo Tagliavento · 46 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.