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Serie A
Referee: Paolo Tagliavento
Crotone
S T T T S
1–1
Full-time
Cagliari
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crotone Cagliari
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
This season — Serie A · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 27%
24%
29%
Points per game
0,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
52%
57%
Both score Ø 39%
29%
48%
Average goals
2,6
2,5
Scored
0,8
0,9
Conceded
1,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

62% Possession 38%
13 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 4
11 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Crotone 17. · Cagliari 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 22 18 2 2 +37 56
2 Napoli 21 17 3 1 +32 54
3 Lazio 21 14 4 3 +31 46
4 Inter 22 12 8 2 +20 44
5 Roma 21 12 5 4 +16 41
6 Sampdoria 21 10 4 7 +9 34
7 Atalanta 22 9 6 7 +7 33
8 Milan 21 9 4 8 -1 31
9 Udinese 21 9 2 10 +3 29
10 Torino 21 6 11 4 +1 29
11 Fiorentina 21 7 7 7 +6 28
12 Bologna 21 8 3 10 -4 27
13 Chievo 22 5 7 10 -18 22
14 Sassuolo 22 6 4 12 -20 22
15 Genoa 21 5 6 10 -7 21
16 Cagliari 21 6 2 13 -14 20
17 Crotone 21 5 3 13 -22 18
18 Spal 22 3 8 11 -17 17
19 Verona 21 3 4 14 -26 13
20 Benevento 21 2 1 18 -33 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Crotone Cagliari
A. Nalini 🔁
↦ A. Stoian
12′
18′
🟨 Luca Cigarini
1–0 M. Trotta
29′
44′
🔁 Rafael
↦ A. Cragno
45′
🟥 Fabio Pisacane
Half-time 1–0
D. Faraoni 🔁
↦ M. Sampirisi
46′
52′
L. Cigarini 1–1
Federico Ricci 🟨
56′
56′
🟨 Diego Farias
Federico Ceccherini 🟨
61′
63′
🔁 C. Lykogiannis
↦ N. Giannetti
A. Budimir 🔁
↦ A. Barberis
71′
76′
🔁 M. Andreolli
↦ L. Cigarini
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Crotone

4-3-3
1 A. Cordaz G
23 M. Capuano D
87 B. Martella D
7 F. Ceccherini D
31 M. Sampirisi D
5 A. Stoian M
10 A. Barberis M
92 Ahmed Benali M
11 F. Ricci F
38 R. Mandragora M
29 M. Trotta F
Bench (12)
9 A. Nalini
37 D. Faraoni
17 A. Budimir
3 M. Festa
6 M. Rohdén
13 M. Izco
14 C. Suljic
20 D. Pavlovic
34 S. Simič
89 G. Crociata
93 Arlind Ajeti
99 S. Nwankwo

Coach: W. Zenga

Cagliari

3-5-2
28 A. Cragno G
15 Leandro Castán D
23 L. Ceppitelli D
19 F. Pisacane D
4 D. Dessena M
8 L. Cigarini M
20 S. Padoin M
21 A. Ioniţă M
16 P. Faragò M
17 Diego Farias F
9 N. Giannetti F
Bench (9)
1 Rafael
22 C. Lykogiannis
3 M. Andreolli
7 A. Cossu
13 F. Romagna
25 M. Sau
26 L. Crosta
27 A. Deiola
35 L. Gagliano

Coach: D. López

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Paolo Tagliavento · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
17,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.